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Current Win Probability
Shrewsbury Town 20.9%
Draw 28.1%
Wrexham 51%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.1%
26.9%
51%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.7%
26.4%
52%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
The chances for Wrexham have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
5.4%
24.3%
70.3%
Shrewsbury Town - Wrexham Predictions
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 2 - 5.4%). Wrexham will win (votes: 26 - 70.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 24.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 55.6% – 85%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Blackman J. (G) 5. Feeney M. 6. Feeney J. 16. Pierre A. 2. Hoole L. 17. Gilliead A. 12. Ojo F. 3. Benning M. 19. Castledine L. 9. Lloyd G. 27. Marquis J. (C)
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. 6. O'Connor T. 29. Barnett R. 8. Cannon A. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 7. McClean J. (C) 38. Lee E. 26. Fletcher S.
Substitutes
22. Nsiala A. 23. Nurse G. 14. Perry T. 1. Savin T. (G) 26. Shipley J. 24. Stewart C. 7. Winchester C.
15. Dobson G. 22. Faal M. 21. Howard M. (G) 11. Marriott J. 19. Mendy J. 10. Mullin P. 24. Scarr D.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.
Parkinson P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Marquis J. ⚽, Lloyd G. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Fletcher S. ⚽, Barnett R. (A),
45+2', Feeney M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pierre A. ↓, Nsiala A. ↑,
48', Marquis J. (Pen),
48', 2 - 1, Marquis J. ⚽,
57', Castledine L. 🟨,
65', Lloyd G. 🟨,
66', Cannon A. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
67', Gilliead A. ↓, Winchester C. ↑,
75', Rathbone O. 🟨,
75', Castledine L. ↓, Shipley J. ↑,
76', O'Connell E. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,
84', Hoole L. 🟨,
87', Benning M. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
90', Rathbone O. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
90+8', McClean J. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
Recent matches Shrewsbury is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Wrexham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Wrexham is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Shrewsbury won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1