Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 27

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday


	St Albans City		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.2	2.1
	3	3.4	2.2
	3.1	3.32	2.26	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.15
	3.21	3.22	2.17
	3	3.4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.9)	3.3 ↑ (3.2)	2.18 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Albans City
29.8%

Draw
27.9%

Torquay United
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

28%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

27.4%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St Albans City's performance.

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torquay United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Albans City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torquay United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St Albans City - Torquay United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Grant ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Young J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

St Albans is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Torquay is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Torquay will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches St Albans won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1.2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams St Albans won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Albans City
English National League South
11.01.25	Weston-super-Mare - St Albans City	0:0 ✺
04.01.25	Eastbourne Borough - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
01.01.25	St Albans City - Enfield Town	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	St Albans City - Truro City	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Worthing - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLWLT
- Torquay United
English National League South
11.01.25	Torquay United - Welling United	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Worthing - Torquay United	5:1 ✺
English National League South
01.01.25	Torquay United - Truro City	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Weymouth - Torquay United	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	Torquay United - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.09.24	Torquay United - St Albans City	1:1
03.02.24	Torquay United - St Albans City	0:4
19.08.23	St Albans City - Torquay United	0:1
27.04.19	St Albans City - Torquay United	0:4
13.11.18	Torquay United - St Albans City	4:1

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