Match Info

Date: 23 September 2020, Wednesday


	Salyut Belgorod		Arsenal Tula

	1	X	2
	9	4	1.36
	8	4.1	1.36
	8.5	4.3	1.34
	7.4	4.2	1.35
	8.69	4.41	1.38
	8.5	4.2	1.38
	7.9	4.55	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.28 ↑ (6.78)	4.25 ↑ (3.97)	1.36 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salyut Belgorod
11.1%

Draw
21.6%

Arsenal Tula
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

22.8%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

19.6%

74.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salyut Belgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salyut Belgorod than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Tula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Salyut Belgorod - Arsenal Tula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Arsenal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arsenal is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Salyut won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Salyut won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salyut Belgorod
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
19.09.20	Kvant Obninsk - Salyut Belgorod	0:0 ✺
12.09.20	Salyut Belgorod - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	0:0 ✺
06.09.20	Ryazan - Salyut Belgorod	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
02.09.20	Kaluga - Salyut Belgorod	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
29.08.20	Salyut Belgorod - Krasnyy Smolensk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTTWT
- Arsenal Tula
Russian Premier League
20.09.20	Arsenal Tula - Sochi	3:2 ✺
14.09.20	Zenit - Arsenal Tula	3:1 ✺
29.08.20	Spartak Moscow - Arsenal Tula	2:1 ✺
25.08.20	Arsenal Tula - Khimki	1:1 ✺
22.08.20	Arsenal Tula - Dynamo Moscow	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
22.09.13	Salyut Belgorod - Arsenal Tula	3:0

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