The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Tula 33.9%
Draw 31.8%
Sochi 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.7%
28.5%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
29.5%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Tula, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Arsenal Tula - Sochi Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sochi will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Levashov M. (G) 44. Berdnikov A. 13. Kaynov M. 18. Levin V. 78. Lipovoy D. 6. Pechenkin N. 8. Popov A. 64. Semenchuk D. 11. Tkachev S. (C) 22. Tsaraev A. 9. Turishchev M.
16. Karabashev N. (G) 22. Kozhemyakin O. 10. Kramaric M. 14. Kravtsov K. 17. Makarchuk A. 88. Makarov A. 5. Maslov P. 11. Meleshin P. 7. Pisarskiy V. 15. Suslov K. 27. Zaika K. (C)
Substitutes
34. Dmitriev O. 10. Geloyan I. 27. Harutyunov A. 60. Kashintsev T. (G) 23. Korotkov A. 7. Nikitin A. 5. Razdorskikh N. 21. Shevchenko E. 90. Sugrobov V. (G) 28. Zhilkin G.
18. Burmistrov N. 37. Chirkov M. 89. Lazarev V. 4. Litvinov V. 28. Magal R. 29. Nikitin K. 1. Rudakov M. (G) 77. Safronov I. 72. Shagiakhmetov R. 12. Zabolotnyi N. (G)
Coaches
Storozhuk A.
Moreno R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Levin V. 🟨,
26', Kravtsov K. 🟨,
42', Pechenkin N. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Turishchev M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, Meleshin P. ⚽,
62', Tkachev S. ↓, Shevchenko E. ↑,
68', Levin V. ↓, Razdorskikh N. ↑,
68', Turishchev M. ↓, Geloyan I. ↑,
73', Zaika K. ↓, Nikitin K. ↑,
79', Meleshin P. ↓, Magal R. ↑,
79', Maslov P. ↓, Litvinov V. ↑,
89', Lipovoy D. ↓, Zhilkin G. ↑,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 6).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 2.
Recent matches Arsenal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sochi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Arsenal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:12 (average 1.2:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
Russia
Watch
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Levashov M. (G) 
Kramaric M. 
Makarov A. 
Geloyan I. 
Moreno R. 
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