Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 9

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Salyut Stadium (Belgorod)


	Salyut Belgorod		Rodina Moscow 3

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.2	5.53
	1.43	4.3	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.49)	4.25 ↑ (3.96)	5.39 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salyut Belgorod
62.1%

Draw
21.2%

Rodina Moscow 3
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

23%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

22.3%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salyut Belgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Rodina Moscow 3 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salyut Belgorod than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zernaev V. (G) 88. Faskhutdinov V. 9. Gagua D. 95. Krikunenko A. 55. Nabatov E. 67. Ponomarev N. 87. Prokurorov A. 19. Shilov D. 18. Vinnikov I. 33. Volkov A. 96. Zorn A.	35. Tarasov R. (G) 70. Atamanskiy I. 4. Baranov P. 11. Belkovskiy M. 21. Belokhonov A. 62. Berzegov R. 9. Burkov A. 23. Gaziev A. 44. Gridin G. 10. Kriulskiy A. 71. Postnikov N.
Substitutes
71. Abramov S. (G) 70. Elesin E. 31. Gnedoy D. (G) 26. Gribanov D. 7. Kanishchev A. 61. Matvevnin D. 4. Milyutin V. 37. Podzolkov Z. 13. Sergeev V.	18. Borisov D. 98. Bykov N. (G) 8. Glotov A. 3. Kolobov E. 17. Pastushkov V. 81. Sary S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Atamanskiy I. ⚽,
32', Kriulskiy A. ↓, Pastushkov V. ↑,
40', 1 - 1, Zorn A. ⚽,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
56', Gridin G. 🟨,
59', Shilov D. ↓, Kanishchev A. ↑,
61', Zorn A. 🟨,
63', 2 - 1, Gagua D. ⚽,
66', 3 - 1, Gridin G. (Own goal),
75', Faskhutdinov V. ↓, Gribanov D. ↑,
76', Gagua D. ↓, Elesin E. ↑,
80', Prokurorov A. ↓, Sergeev V. ↑,
80', Volkov A. ↓, Matvevnin D. ↑,
82', 4 - 1, Matvevnin D. ⚽,
86', Belokhonov A. ↓, Glotov A. ↑,
86', Berzegov R. ↓, Sary S. ↑,
89', Gaziev A. ↓, Borisov D. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 2, Gridin G. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 10).

Salyut is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rodina M's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Salyut is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salyut Belgorod
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
18.05.25	Ryazan - Salyut Belgorod	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Salyut Belgorod - Khimki 2	5:0 ✺
03.05.25	Oryol - Salyut Belgorod	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Salyut Belgorod - Kvant Obninsk	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Dynamo Bryansk - Salyut Belgorod	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWTL
- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
17.05.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Znamya Truda	1:3 ✺
10.05.25	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Rodina Moscow 3	3:4 ✺
03.05.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Spartak Tambov	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Rodina Moscow 3 - Strogino Moskva	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Ryazan - Rodina Moscow 3	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTTL

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