Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme (San Benedetto del Tronto)

Referee: Mirabella D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Max


	Sambenedettese		Campobasso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	2.9	3.05	2.32	Watch
	3.18	3.2	2.37
	2.76	3.06	2.52	Watch
	3	3.1	2.3
	3.14	3.14	2.3	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.66)	3.09 ↓ (3.12)	2.37 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
31.4%

Draw
29.8%

Campobasso
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

29.5%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

29.6%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (-3%)

Sambenedettese - Campobasso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 4. Zini A. 15. Gigli N. 90. Kosijer S. 10. Marranzino P. 6. Piccoli M. 18. Candellori K. (C) 37. Toure M. 30. Nicoli S. 9. Sgarbi L. 11. Stabile D. P.	1. Spurio A. (G) 2. Papini F. 95. Corbo G. 4. Celesia C. 27. Cristallo C. 34. Agazzi D. 5. Gargiulo M. 30. Coccia L. 10. Stoppa M. 7. Isaac Prado 14. Bifulco A. (C)
Substitutes
38. Buljan L. 20. Carinelli M. 5. Chelli M. 1. Cultraro G. (G) 23. De Angelis E. 7. Faggioli A. 93. Magnaghi S. 21. Perrotta F. 17. Pezzola L. 14. Plicco E. 24. Sinani K. 8. Tunjov G.	22. Apsits R. (G) 77. Aragona C. 19. Blasi L. 11. Carfora L. 8. Di Vico R. 21. Fogliata R. 92. Galeandro A. 70. Leonardi S. 28. Maisto F. 99. Muzi C. (G) 18. Pierno R.
Coaches
Boscaglia R.	Mangia D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Celesia C. 🟨,
41', Gigli N. ↓, Chelli M. ↑,
44', Corbo G. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Papini F. ⚽, Stoppa M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Marranzino P. ⚽, Sgarbi L. (A),
66', Coccia L. ↓, Fogliata R. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Stoppa M. ⚽,
72', Chelli M. 🟨,
73', Stabile D. P. ↓, Faggioli A. ↑,
73', Marranzino P. ↓, Perrotta F. ↑,
80', Bifulco A. ↓, Carfora L. ↑,
80', Stoppa M. ↓, Maisto F. ↑,
82', Agazzi D. 🟨,
83', Piccoli M. ↓, Magnaghi S. ↑,
83', Toure M. ↓, Tunjov G. ↑,
90+1', Cristallo C. ↓, Pierno R. ↑,
90+1', Agazzi D. ↓, Di Vico R. ↑,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 19th in the Relegation and 10th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Sambenedettese is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Campobasso has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Sambenedettese has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 0.6:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sambenedettese against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:3 goals (averaging 0.7:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Campobasso	8	3	3	2	12:11	1	12
19	Sambenedettese	8	1	2	5	11:14	-3	5

Last Results with these Odds

Campobasso - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.93%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
21.09.26	Pianese - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Sambenedettese - Atalanta U23	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Pineto - Sambenedettese	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Sambenedettese - Spezia	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Altamura - Sambenedettese	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group B
20.09.26	Campobasso - Pineto	2:2 ✺
16.09.26	Grosseto - Campobasso	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Vado - Campobasso	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Campobasso - Gubbio	2:4 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.09.26	Campobasso - Scafatese	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
14.03.26	Sambenedettese - Campobasso	0:1
07.11.25	Campobasso - Sambenedettese	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.04.24	Sambenedettese - Campobasso	0:1
03.12.23	Campobasso - Sambenedettese	1:0
17.01.16	Sambenedettese - Campobasso	2:1

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