Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday


	Sambenedettese		Matelica

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.4	5.75
	1.62	3.6	4.6
	1.62	3.6	4.7
	1.61	3.4	4.9
	1.66	3.82	5.43
	1.67	3.25	5.25
	1.61	3.86	4.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2)	3.56 ↑ (2.97)	5.08 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
56.4%

Draw
25.6%

Matelica
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

30.5%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

22.9%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sambenedettese's performance.

Matelica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matelica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matelica than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Sambenedettese - Matelica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 12).

Sambenedettese is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Matelica is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sambenedettese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sambenedettese is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sambenedettese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
06.12.20	Triestina - Sambenedettese	0:1 ✺
02.12.20	Arezzo - Sambenedettese	2:3 ✺
29.11.20	Sambenedettese - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Ravenna - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
14.11.20	Sambenedettese - Vis Pesaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTTW
- Matelica Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
05.12.20	Matelica - Gubbio	1:3 ✺
29.11.20	Fermana - Matelica	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Matelica - Cesena	2:2 ✺
15.11.20	Padova - Matelica	3:0 ✺
11.11.20	Legnago Salus - Matelica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
20.02.16	Matelica - Sambenedettese	1:3

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