Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 26

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Samora Correia		União da Serra

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.05	2.25
	3.08	2.98	2.22
	3.07	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3	2.8	2.25
	2.79	3.41	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.88)	3.07 ↓ (3.25)	2.26 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samora Correia
30.5%

Draw
29.5%

União da Serra
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

28.1%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

27.5%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samora Correia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

The chances for União da Serra have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Samora Correia - União da Serra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 2 - 2, ⚽,
68', 🟥,
88', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 5).

In recent matches, Samora Correia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

União da Serra is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samora Correia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Uniao Da Serra	4	2	2	0	6:4	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Samora Correia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
12.04.26	SB Castelo Branco - Samora Correia	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Samora Correia - Eléctrico	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Samora Correia - Peniche	5:2 ✺
21.03.26	Vitória de Sernache - Samora Correia	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Samora Correia - Os Marialvas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWLL
- União da Serra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
12.04.26	União da Serra - Peniche	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Oliveira Hospital - União da Serra	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Os Marialvas - União da Serra	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	União da Serra - Marinhense	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	SC Lusitânia - União da Serra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
21.12.25	União da Serra - Samora Correia	1:1

Samora Correia - União da Serra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide