Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 17

Date: 12 August 2024, Monday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)

Referee: Tourinho R. R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Sampaio Corrêa		ABC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.3
	2.2	2.85	3.4
	2.27	2.77	3.8
	2.18	2.83	3.62
	2.1	2.88	3.3
	2.15	2.91	3.47	Watch
	2.2	2.85	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.25)	2.84 ↓ (2.95)	3.47 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
41.8%

Draw
32%

ABC
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

31.1%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

29.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	83.3%	16.7%

Sampaio Corrêa - ABC Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Mariano (G) 3. Betao 5. Cavi 4. Itambe 7. Jhonata Varela 18. Joao Felipe 20. Nadson Mesquita 11. Pimentinha (C) 2. Rafael Luiz 22. Thallyson 21. Victor Daniel	22. Pedro Paulo (G) 8. Adeilson Maranhao 5. Daniel 4. Eduardo Thuram 2. Felipe Albuquerque 21. Iago 18. Jenison 6. Lucas Sampaio 26. Matheus Rocha 17. Richardson (C) 14. Wellington Reis
Substitutes
12. Alan (G) 9. Bruno Baio 6. Dimas 14. Fabio Aguiar 23. Fabrizio 8. Ferreira 10. Gabriel Silva 16. Gazao 15. Guilherme 13. Onwudiwe F. 17. Renan Gorne 19. Roney	25. Emerson Galego 13. Freitas Barreto P. C. 9. Jackson 23. Lima 20. Matheus 12. Matheus Refundini (G) 27. Tite 15. Walfrido 11. Wallyson
Coaches
Felipe Surian	Roberto Fonseca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Iago ↓, Emerson Galego ↑,
22', Richardson 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Matheus Rocha ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Rafael Luiz ↓, Bruno Baio ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Nadson Mesquita ⚽, Joao Felipe (A),
54', Felipe Albuquerque ↓, Matheus ↑,
54', Adeilson Maranhao ↓, Jackson ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Bruno Baio ⚽,
66', Nadson Mesquita ↓, Ferreira ↑,
66', Victor Daniel ↓, Roney ↑,
68', Pimentinha 🟨,
69', Itambe 🟨,
70', Jackson 🟨,
70', 2 - 2, Jackson (Pen),
79', Wellington Reis 🟨,
81', Wellington Reis ↓, Walfrido ↑,
81', Emerson Galego ↓, Wallyson ↑,
84', Joao Felipe ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
89', Jhonata Varela ↓, Renan Gorne ↑,
90+10', Renan Gorne 🟨,
90+10', Walfrido 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

ABC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently ABC have a series of home games.

Sampaio Corrêa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie C
05.08.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
22.07.24	Floresta - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
13.07.24	Sampaio Corrêa - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0 ✺
06.07.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Ferroviária	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLWL
- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie C
03.08.24	ABC - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	ABC - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Botafogo PB - ABC	1:0 ✺
15.07.24	ABC - Tombense	1:0 ✺
06.07.24	ABC - CS Alagoano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
02.09.23	ABC - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1
20.05.23	Sampaio Corrêa - ABC	1:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.02.23	ABC - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0
03.04.21	ABC - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1
Brazilian Serie C
17.08.19	ABC - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1
15.06.19	Sampaio Corrêa - ABC	1:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.03.19	Sampaio Corrêa - ABC	0:1

Sampaio Corrêa - ABC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide