Match Info

Date: 5 September 2020, Saturday


	Sampaio Corrêa		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.66	Watch
	3.9	3.25	1.83
	4.35	3.25	1.74	Watch
	4.9	3.2	1.74
	5.48	3.24	1.81
	5	3.3	1.73
	5.15	3.42	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (3.9)	3.29 ↑ (3.27)	1.75 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
19.4%

Draw
28%

América Mineiro
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

28.2%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

22%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sampaio Corrêa - América Mineiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to Serie C and 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie A).

Sampaio Corrêa has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

América MG is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sampaio Corrêa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match América MG is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
02.09.20	CRB Maceio - Sampaio Corrêa	2:2 ✺
29.08.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
16.08.20	Chapecoense - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
11.08.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Juventude	0:1 ✺
08.08.20	Vitória Salvador - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLLL
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
02.09.20	América Mineiro - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
29.08.20	Cruzeiro - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.08.20	América Mineiro - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.08.20	América Mineiro - Osasco Sporting	2:1 ✺
17.08.20	Juventude - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
08.09.15	Sampaio Corrêa - América Mineiro	0:2
02.06.15	América Mineiro - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
29.11.14	América Mineiro - Sampaio Corrêa	4:0
29.08.14	Sampaio Corrêa - América Mineiro	0:0

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