Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Sampaio Corrêa		Brusque

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3	2.85
	2.43	3	2.85
	2.47	3	2.85
	2.59	3.16	3.03
	2.55	2.9	2.88
	2.49	3.18	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.27)	3.04 ↑ (2.88)	2.9 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
37.3%

Draw
30.6%

Brusque
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

32.4%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

34.2%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brusque's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampaio Corrêa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brusque, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Sampaio Corrêa - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Brusque will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampaio Corrêa: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sampaio Corrêa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
20.04.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Cordino	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie B
16.04.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Tombense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
13.04.22	Cordino - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
09.04.22	Sport Recife - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
05.04.22	Cordino - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WTTLL
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
12.04.22	Cruzeiro - Brusque	1:0 ✺
08.04.22	Brusque - Guarani	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
02.04.22	Brusque - Camboriú	0:0 ✺
30.03.22	Camboriú - Brusque	1:1 ✺
27.03.22	Brusque - Concórdia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.09.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Brusque	2:2
22.06.21	Brusque - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0

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