Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 8

Date: 24 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)

Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)


	Sampaio Corrêa		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.14	3.05	3.45
	2.2	3.12	3.85
	2.1	3.1	3.5
	2.07	3.34	3.64	Watch
	2.2	3.15	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.4)	3.14 ↑ (3.09)	3.5 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
43.7%

Draw
29.7%

Ponte Preta
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

29.8%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29.4%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sampaio Corrêa's performance.

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponte Preta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Sampaio Corrêa - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampaio Corrêa: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ponte Preta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sampaio Corrêa will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sampaio Corrêa: Alyson Neves (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
20.05.23	Sampaio Corrêa - ABC	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Guarani - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
06.05.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Juventude	2:1 ✺
02.05.23	CRB Maceio - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
29.04.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Mirassol	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWTL
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
21.05.23	Ponte Preta - Guarani	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Londrina - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
07.05.23	Ponte Preta - Ceará	0:0 ✺
02.05.23	Ponte Preta - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
29.04.23	Chapecoense - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
03.10.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Ponte Preta	2:1
23.06.22	Ponte Preta - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0
03.09.21	Ponte Preta - Sampaio Corrêa	3:2
11.06.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Ponte Preta	1:0
01.12.20	Ponte Preta - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1
29.08.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Ponte Preta	1:2
08.09.18	Ponte Preta - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0

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