Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 17

Date: 14 July 2023, Friday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)

Referee: Padovani Andrade D. J. (Bra)


	Sampaio Corrêa		Ituano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3	4
	1.95	3.05	4.1
	2.04	3.13	4.46
	1.85	3	4
	2.03	3.15	4.05	Watch
	1.97	3.05	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.19)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	4.1 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
47.2%

Draw
30.2%

Ituano
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

29.5%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sampaio Corrêa's performance.

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ituano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sampaio Corrêa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ituano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	53.3%	6.7%

Sampaio Corrêa - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Ituano will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 2. Mateus Pivo 3. Gabriel Furtado 4. Gustavo Henrique 6. Alyson Neves 5. Jhony Douglas 8. Neto Paraiba 11. Pimentinha (C) 10. Marcinho 20. Mauricio Maranhao 23. Ytalo	12. Jefferson Paulino (G) 2. Pacheco 3. Claudinho 4. Rafael Pereira (C) 6. Mario Sergio 5. Jose Aldo 8. Thiaguinho 7. Felipe Saraiva 10. Rafael Carvalheira 11. Helio Borges 9. Paulo Victor
Substitutes
15. Claudio Cebolinha 9. Emerson Carioca 13. Joecio 14. Leo Silva 21. Luiz Otavio 18. Mikael 16. Para 7. Robinho 17. Samuel Santos 12. Thiago Braga (G) 22. Vinicius Alves 19. Vitinho	1. Deivity (G) 17. Felipe Fonseca 15. Frazan 13. Iury 16. Junior A. 20. Lucas Siqueira 14. Marcel Scalese 18. Martha 19. Quirino 21. Yann Rolim 22. Ze Carlos
Coaches
Fernandes M.	Marcinho

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 14).

Sampaio Corrêa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ituano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sampaio Corrêa is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
08.07.23	Tombense - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Criciúma	0:2 ✺
28.06.23	Vitória Salvador - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1 ✺
25.06.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Ceará	1:1 ✺
10.06.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLTL
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
08.07.23	Ituano - Juventude	1:1 ✺
03.07.23	Mirassol - Ituano	0:1 ✺
28.06.23	Ituano - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
21.06.23	CRB Maceio - Ituano	2:2 ✺
10.06.23	Ituano - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.10.22	Ituano - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
09.07.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Ituano	2:0

Sampaio Corrêa - Ituano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide