Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 12

Date: 10 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Itu)

Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)


	Ituano		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.3	3	3.1
	2.28	3.21	3.55
	2.2	3.1	3.25
	2.2	3.32	3.32	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.5)	3.16 ↑ (3)	3.26 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
42%

Draw
29.5%

Atlético Goianiense
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

30.4%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

30.1%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ituano's performance.

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ituano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Ituano - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ituano: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jefferson Paulino (G) 2. Matheus Aluisio 3. Claudinho 4. Rafael Pereira (C) 6. Mario Sergio 5. Martha 8. Thiaguinho 11. Helio Borges 10. Eduardo Person 7. Felipe Saraiva 9. Paulo Victor	1. Diego Loureiro (G) 2. Bruno Tubarao 3. Joao Maistro 4. Heron 6. Jefferson 8. Rhaldney 5. Renato 7. Matheus Sales 11. Luiz Fernando 10. Shaylon 9. Gustavo Coutinho (C)
Substitutes
1. Deivity (G) 21. Felipe Fonseca 13. Frazan 18. Jose Aldo 16. Leal Silva K. R. 15. Lucas Siqueira 14. Marcel Scalese 17. Poz V. 19. Quirino 20. Rafael Silva 22. Yann Rolim	18. Airton 19. Daniel Lima 15. David Braga 17. Kelvin 14. Lucas Gazal 16. Marco Antonio 20. Matheus Regis 13. Renan Silva 12. Ronaldo Strada (G)
Coaches
Marcinho	Valentim A.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 10).

Recent matches Ituano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético GO is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Ituano: Bruno Xavier (Injury) Jonathan Vieira (Injury)

There will not play in Atlético GO: Rodrigo Soares (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
06.06.23	Botafogo SP - Ituano	0:2 ✺
02.06.23	Vitória Salvador - Ituano	3:0 ✺
27.05.23	Ituano - Londrina	3:1 ✺
24.05.23	Vila Nova - Ituano	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	Ituano - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWLL
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
06.06.23	Atlético Goianiense - Ceará	0:3 ✺
02.06.23	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	3:0 ✺
27.05.23	Atlético Goianiense - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
24.05.23	Juventude - Atlético Goianiense	3:0 ✺
19.05.23	Atlético Goianiense - Avaí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLT

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