Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 16

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Itu)

Referee: Silveira L. (Bra)


	Ituano		Juventude

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.75
	2.5	2.95	2.85
	2.83	2.95	2.94
	2.45	2.75	2.8
	2.72	2.92	2.88	Watch
	2.6	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.35)	2.91 ↓ (3.2)	2.83 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
35.6%

Draw
31.8%

Juventude
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

28.5%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

29.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	45.5%	18.2%

Ituano - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Juventude will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jefferson Paulino (G) 2. Iury 3. Claudinho 4. Rafael Pereira (C) 6. Mario Sergio 5. Thiaguinho 8. Rafael Carvalheira 10. Alejandro 11. Helio Borges 9. Paulo Victor 7. Felipe Saraiva	1. Thiago Couto (G) 93. Reginaldo 4. Danilo Boza 3. Ze Marcos 21. Kelvyn 16. Jadson 22. Daniel Bolt 36. Vini Paulista 77. Nene (C) 11. David 9. Rodrigo Rodrigues
Substitutes
1. Deivity (G) 17. Felipe Fonseca 15. Frazan 16. Leal Silva K. R. 20. Lucas Siqueira 14. Marcel Scalese 18. Martha 13. Matheus Aluisio 19. Quirino 21. Yann Rolim 22. Ze Carlos	39. Daniel Cruz 19. Fabio Gomes 5. Jean 95. Kady 99. Lucas Wingert (G) 23. Mandaca 53. Romercio 29. Ruan 34. Tite 32. Victor Andrade
Coaches
Marcinho	Carpini T.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Ituano: Bruno Xavier (Injury) Jonathan Vieira (Injury) Madison (Injury) Neto Berola (Injury)

There will not play in Juventude: Echapora (Injury) Emerson Santos (Injury) Mandaca (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
03.07.23	Mirassol - Ituano	0:1 ✺
28.06.23	Ituano - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
21.06.23	CRB Maceio - Ituano	2:2 ✺
10.06.23	Ituano - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
06.06.23	Botafogo SP - Ituano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WLTTW
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
02.07.23	Juventude - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
28.06.23	Londrina - Juventude	1:2 ✺
22.06.23	Sport Recife - Juventude	3:0 ✺
11.06.23	Juventude - Tombense	1:2 ✺
08.06.23	Criciúma - Juventude	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLLW

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