Match Info

Serie B - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus
World	Onefootball


	Sampdoria		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.05	3.5	Watch
	2.18	3.05	3.4	Watch
	2.27	3.03	3.8
	2.15	3.15	3.55	Watch
	2.15	3	3.4
	2.21	3.05	3.49	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.13)	3.03 ↓ (3.13)	3.56 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
42.8%

Draw
30.9%

Carrarese
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

25.9%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	26.7%	13.3%

Sampdoria - Carrarese Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Carrarese will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampdoria: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sampdoria will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ghidotti S. (C) 18. Venuti L. 25. Ferrari A. 31. Vulikic S. 23. Depaoli F. 20. Pafundi S. 16. Henderson L. 33. Conti F. 44. Ioannou N. 10. Cherubini L. 9. Coda M.	1. Bleve M. (G) 6. Oliana F. 4. Illanes J. 3. Imperiale M. (C) 72. Zanon S. 18. Schiavi N. 17. Zuelli E. 70. Hasa L. 11. Cicconi M. 32. Finotto M. 9. Abiuso F.
Substitutes
72. Barak A. 80. Benedetti L. 98. Coucke G. (G) 4. Ferri J. 21. Giordano S. 17. Hadzikadunic D. 22. Krastev A. (G) 70. Narro V. 11. Pedrola E. 30. Ravaglia N. (G) 8. Ricci M. 5. Riccio A.	80. Accornero F. 13. Bouah D. 10. Bozhanaj K. 37. Calabrese N. 28. Di Stefano F. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 8. Melegoni F. 77. Parlanti G. 21. Rubino T. 26. Ruggeri F. 44. Sekulov N. 92. Torregrossa E.
Coaches
Gregucci A.	Calabro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Abiuso F. ⚽, Finotto M. (A),
10', Henderson L. 🟨,
17', 1 - 1, Coda M. ⚽, Pafundi S. (A),
26', 1 - 2, Abiuso F. ⚽, Zanon S. (A),
36', 2 - 2, Henderson L. ⚽, Coda M. (A),
37', Illanes J. 🟨,
43', Ferrari A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ferrari A. ↓, Hadzikadunic D. ↑,
58', Cherubini L. ↓, Benedetti L. ↑,
59', Venuti L. ↓, Riccio A. ↑,
65', Pafundi S. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
65', Hasa L. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
68', Abiuso F. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
73', Henderson L. ↓, Ricci M. ↑,
82', 3 - 2, Coda M. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Zuelli E. ↓, Parlanti G. ↑,
84', Zanon S. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
84', Cherubini L. 🟨,
84', Oliana F. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
87', Coda M. 🟨,
87', Torregrossa E. 🟨,
90+2', Depaoli F. 🟨,
90+4', Benedetti L. 🟨,
90+5', Ioannou N. 🟨,
90+8', Schiavi N. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Sampdoria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sampdoria could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Sampdoria: Abildgaard O. (Injury) Altare G. (Knee Injury) Cuni M. (Inactive) Girelli S. (Inactive) Romagnoli S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F. (Inactive) Ruggeri F. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Sampdoria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Carrarese - the odds 3.54 are the expected chance of winning is 26.36%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
30.11.25	Spezia - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
24.11.25	Sampdoria - Juve Stabia	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Venezia - Sampdoria	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sampdoria - Mantova	0:1 ✺
28.10.25	Empoli - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLT
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
29.11.25	Palermo - Carrarese	5:0 ✺
22.11.25	Carrarese - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Carrarese - Frosinone	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Cesena - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.04.25	Carrarese - Sampdoria	1:0
26.12.24	Sampdoria - Carrarese	1:1

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