The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sampdoria 13.7%
Draw 21.2%
Milan 65.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.9%
22.1%
63%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15%
22.2%
62.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.1%
20.2%
66.7%
Sampdoria - Milan Predictions
Users Predictions:
84 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 11 - 13.1%). Milan will win (votes: 56 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 20.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 56.6% โ 76.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).
Sampdoria has the most likely position - 20 (11.16%), has project points - 37, has currently - 2, has a chance of relegated (33%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Milan has the most likely position - 1 (24.3%), has project points - 75, has currently - 11, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (71%), has a chance of win league (24%).
This event has quality63, importance46, match rating55. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 0.
Sampdoria is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Milan is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Milan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Milan is certain favorite.
There will not play in Milan: Florenzi A.
(Muscle Injury)
Ibrahimovic Z.
(Knee Injury)
Krunic R.
(Muscle Injury)
Rebic A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Sampdoria: De Luca M.
(Knee Injury)
Trimboli S.
(Collarbone injury)
Winks H.
(Injury)
Last 23 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 13-29.
Including matches at home between the teams Sampdoria won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7-17.
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