Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 21

Date: 19 January 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Bulgaria	Nova Sport


	Sampdoria		Parma

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.15
	3.5	3.3	2.1	Watch
	2.85	3.4	2.59
	3.67	3.36	2.19
	3.3	3.25	2.05
	3.4	3.44	2.14	Watch
	3.35	3.3	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.84)	3.34 ↑ (3.31)	2.18 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
28.2%

Draw
28.4%

Parma
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

28.4%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

28.8%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampdoria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Parma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	23.1%	53.8%

Sampdoria - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Parma will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 34.6% – 73%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stankovic F. (G) 40. Stojanovic P. 87. Ghilardi D. 33. Gonzalez F. 29. Murru N. (C) 8. Ricci M. 28. Yepes G. 21. Giordano S. 23. Depaoli F. 10. Verre V. 9. De Luca M.	1. Chichizola L. (G) 15. Del Prato E. (C) 4. Balogh B. 77. Di Chiara G. 3. Osorio Y. 8. Estevez N. 19. Sohm S. 98. Man D. 10. Bernabe A. 28. Mihaila V. 13. Bonny A.
Substitutes
19. Alvarez A. 5. Askildsen K. 3. Barreca A. 39. Conti F. 38. Costantino L. 77. Delle Monache M. 32. Girelli S. 20. La Gumina A. 44. Leonardi S. 43. Ntanda S. 6. Panada S. 22. Ravaglia N. (G)	7. Benedyczak A. 23. Camara D. 9. Charpentier G. 39. Circati A. 17. Colak A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 26. Coulibaly W. 64. Cyprien W. 20. Hainaut A. 27. Hernani 21. Partipilo A. 22. Turk M. (G)
Coaches
Pirlo A.	Pecchia F.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 3.

Recent matches Sampdoria is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Parma is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Parma will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampdoria won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
14.01.24	Venezia - Sampdoria	5:3 ✺
26.12.23	Sampdoria - Bari	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	Sampdoria - FeralpiSalò	2:3 ✺
16.12.23	Reggiana - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
09.12.23	Sampdoria - Lecco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLWW
- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
14.01.24	Parma - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Brescia - Parma	0:2 ✺
23.12.23	Parma - Ternana	3:1 ✺
16.12.23	Nuova Cosenza - Parma	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Parma - Palermo	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
24.09.23	Parma - Sampdoria	1:1
Club Friendly
16.07.22	Sampdoria - Parma	1:1
Italian Serie A
22.05.21	Sampdoria - Parma	3:0
24.01.21	Parma - Sampdoria	0:2
19.07.20	Parma - Sampdoria	2:3
08.12.19	Sampdoria - Parma	0:1
Club Friendly
10.08.19	Parma - Sampdoria	2:1

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