Match Info

Serie B - Round 22

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Italy	DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV
World	Onefootball


	Sampdoria		Spezia

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.6	Watch
	2.18	2.92	3.55	Watch
	2.35	2.92	3.89
	2.18	3.05	3.61	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.5
	2.23	3.04	3.64	Watch
	2.16	2.83	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.08)	2.94 ↓ (3.37)	3.68 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
42.5%

Draw
32%

Spezia
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.7%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Sampdoria - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Spezia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampdoria: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Martinelli T. (G) 13. Palma M. 28. Abildgaard O. 17. Hadzikadunic D. 29. Di Pardo A. 33. Conti F. 16. Henderson L. (C) 7. Cicconi M. 20. Pafundi S. 10. Cherubini L. 99. Brunori M.	22. Radunovic B. (G) 4. Ruggero M. 55. Hristov P. (C) 11. Beruatto P. 17. Sernicola L. 29. Cassata F. 60. Romano A. 5. Valoti M. 70. Adamo E. 20. Di Serio G. 9. Artistico G.
Substitutes
11. Begic T. 14. Bellemo A. 34. Casalino T. 9. Coda M. 25. Ferrari A. 1. Ghidotti S. (G) 21. Giordano S. 19. Girelli S. 30. Ravaglia N. (G) 8. Ricci M. 5. Riccio A. 31. Vulikic S.	31. Aurelio G. 94. Bonfanti G. 34. Comotto C. 6. Fellipe Jack 16. Loria L. (G) 12. Mascardi D. (G) 8. Nagy A. 27. Soleri E. 7. Verde D. 32. Vignali L. 99. Vlahovic V.
Coaches
Gregucci A.	Donadoni R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Cassata F. 🟨,
34', Artistico G. 🟨,
35', Henderson L. 🟨,
38', Valoti M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Hadzikadunic D. 🟨,
50', Hristov P. 🟨,
57', Pafundi S. ↓, Begic T. ↑,
58', Adamo E. ↓, Aurelio G. ↑,
67', Brunori M. ↓, Coda M. ↑,
67', Conti F. ↓, Ricci M. ↑,
77', Valoti M. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
77', Artistico G. ↓, Vlahovic V. ↑,
85', Vlahovic V. 🟥,
85', Palma M. 🟥,
90', 1 - 0, Ricci M. ⚽,
90+1', Ricci M. 🟨,
90+2', Cherubini L. ↓, Riccio A. ↑,
90+2', Cassata F. ↓, Verde D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sampdoria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sampdoria might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Sampdoria: Altare G. (Knee Injury) Barak A. (Inactive) Esposito Sa. (Inactive) Ferri J. (Inactive) Venuti L. (Injury)

There will not play in Spezia: Lapadula G. (Inactive) Mateju A. (Yellow Cards) Sarr M. (Ankle Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Spezia: Bandinelli F. (Injury) Mateju A. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sampdoria won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4

Last Results with these Odds

Sampdoria - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.86%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Spezia - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.45%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
25.01.26	Catanzaro - Sampdoria	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Sampdoria - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Avellino - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Sampdoria - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Padova - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTLWT
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
24.01.26	Spezia - Avellino	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Palermo - Spezia	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Spezia	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Spezia - Pescara	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Frosinone - Spezia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
30.11.25	Spezia - Sampdoria	1:0
Coppa Italia
18.08.25	Spezia - Sampdoria	2:1 penalties
Italian Serie B
06.04.25	Spezia - Sampdoria	2:0
14.12.24	Sampdoria - Spezia	0:0
20.04.24	Spezia - Sampdoria	0:0
24.11.23	Sampdoria - Spezia	2:1
Italian Serie A
22.04.23	Sampdoria - Spezia	1:1

Sampdoria - Spezia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide