Match Info

ITALY: Coppa Italia - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 December 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2
Albania	21:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	17:00	DirecTV Sports, Fox Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Belgium	21:00	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	17:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	15:00	TLN, VIVA
Chile	17:00	DirecTV Sports
China	04:00	Migu
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 2
Ecuador	15:00	Canal del Futbol
France	21:00	Free, L'Equipe, Molotov TV
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	Arena 4, Net4+
India	01:30	GXR World
Indonesia	03:00	TVRI, Vidio
Israel	22:00	Sport 4
Italy	21:00	Infinity+, Italia 1
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	02:00	Sport+
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Norway	21:00	VG+
Peru	15:00	DirecTV Sports
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV7
Russia	23:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 2
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Sweden	21:00	Sport Bladet Play
Switzerland	21:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	23:00	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	23:00	TRT Spor
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Arab Emirates	00:00	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
United Kingdom	20:00	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	17:00	DirecTV Sports
Usa	15:00	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	DirecTV Sports, Inter
International	20:00	DirecTV Sports


	Roma		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	12
	1.22	6.25	13
	1.21	6.4	14.5	Watch
	1.24	6.4	14
	1.23	6.41	12.24	Watch
	1.22	5.8	13
	1.26	6.55	10.5
	1.22	6.5	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.36)	6.29 ↑ (4.89)	13.03 ↑ (8.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
77.6%

Draw
15.1%

Sampdoria
7.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.5%

19.4%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

12.2%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roma's performance.

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-33.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampdoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.4%	9.8%	4.9%

Roma - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: Roma will win (32 of 37 users predict this - 86.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.48% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Ryan M. (G) 19. Celik Z. 5. Ndicka E. 22. Hermoso M. 59. Zalewski N. 61. Pisilli N. 16. Paredes L. (C) 3. Angelino 56. Saelemaekers A. 35. Baldanzi T. 11. Dovbyk A.	1. Vismara P. (G) 18. Venuti L. 17. Meulensteen M. 31. Vulikic S. 72. Veroli D. 15. Akinsanmiro E. 28. Yepes G. 4. Vieira R. (C) 16. Borini F. 34. Leonardi S. 11. Pedrola E.
Substitutes
12. Abdulhamid S. 66. Buba Aboubacar 26. Dahl S. 21. Dybala P. 92. El Shaarawy S. 28. Le Fee E. 89. Marin R. (G) 7. Pellegrini Lo. 14. Shomurodov E. 18. Soule M. 99. Svilar M. (G)	3. Barreca A. 7. Bellemo A. 80. Benedetti L. 9. Coda M. 23. Depaoli F. 22. Ghidotti S. (G) 21. Giordano S. 29. Girelli S. 44. Ioannou N. 20. La Gumina A. 30. Ravaglia N. (G) 8. Ricci M. 5. Riccio A. 84. Sekulov N. 10. Tutino G.
Coaches
Ranieri C.	Semplici L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Dovbyk A. ⚽, Saelemaekers A. (A),
19', 2 - 0, Dovbyk A. ⚽,
23', Pisilli N. 🟨,
24', 3 - 0, Baldanzi T. ⚽, Paredes L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Veroli D. ↓, Ioannou N. ↑,
46', Pedrola E. ↓, Depaoli F. ↑,
51', Vulikic S. 🟨,
61', 3 - 1, Yepes G. ⚽, Depaoli F. (A),
62', Vieira R. ↓, Benedetti L. ↑,
62', Pisilli N. ↓, Le Fee E. ↑,
62', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Soule M. ↑,
67', Borini F. 🟨,
69', Leonardi S. ↓, Sekulov N. ↑,
70', Paredes L. ↓, Pellegrini Lo. ↑,
71', Zalewski N. ↓, Dahl S. ↑,
78', Dovbyk A. ↓, Shomurodov E. ↑,
78', Akinsanmiro E. ↓, Bellemo A. ↑,
79', 4 - 1, Shomurodov E. ⚽, Angelino (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roma won 3.

Recent matches Roma is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sampdoria is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sampdoria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Roma is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Roma won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 30:17 (average 1.5:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Roma won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23:9 (average 2.1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
15.12.24	Como - Roma	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Roma - Braga	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.12.24	Roma - Lecce	4:1 ✺
02.12.24	Roma - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Roma	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLT
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
14.12.24	Sampdoria - Spezia	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Sassuolo - Sampdoria	5:1 ✺
30.11.24	Sampdoria - Catanzaro	3:3 ✺
24.11.24	Palermo - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Pisa - Sampdoria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
02.04.23	Roma - Sampdoria	3:0
17.10.22	Sampdoria - Roma	0:1
03.04.22	Sampdoria - Roma	0:1
22.12.21	Roma - Sampdoria	1:1
02.05.21	Sampdoria - Roma	2:0
03.01.21	Roma - Sampdoria	1:0
24.06.20	Roma - Sampdoria	2:1

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