Match Info

Serie B - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Reggiana		Padova

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.05	3.5	Watch
	2.22	3	3.3	Watch
	2.27	2.98	3.87
	2.18	3.11	3.53	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.6
	2.32	2.97	3.33	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.35)	2.99 ↓ (3.18)	3.55 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggiana
42.2%

Draw
31.4%

Padova
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.4%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Reggiana - Padova Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Padova will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggiana: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Padova (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Padova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Motta E. (G) 2. Papetti A. 96. Magnani G. 14. Quaranta D. 7. Marras M. 26. Bertagnoli M. 16. Reinhart T. 3. Bozzolan A. 90. Portanova M. 11. Gondo C. 10. Tavsan E.	22. Sorrentino A. (G) 72. Faedo C. 32. Sgarbi F. 5. Perrotta M. 17. Capelli A. 7. Varas K. 6. Crisetig L. (C) 44. Harder J. 3. Barreca A. 10. Papu Gomez 20. Bortolussi M.
Substitutes
19. Basili D. 43. Bonetti S. 91. Conte O. 93. Lambourde M. 17. Libutti L. 44. Mendicino L. 23. Rover M. 4. Rozzio P. 21. Saro G. (G) 12. Seculin A. (G) 5. Stulac L. 6. Vallarelli F.	33. Baselli D. 4. Belli F. 13. Boi A. 92. Buonaiuto C. 30. Favale G. 14. Fortin M. (G) 18. Ghiglione P. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 11. Seghetti A. 55. Villa L.
Coaches
Dionigi D.	Andreoletti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Marras M. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Sgarbi F. ⚽, Capelli A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Reinhart T. ⚽,
57', Barreca A. ↓, Ghiglione P. ↑,
59', Harder J. 🟨,
70', Tavsan E. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
74', Marras M. ↓, Rover M. ↑,
74', Papu Gomez ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Seghetti A. ⚽,
83', Perrotta M. ↓, Villa L. ↑,
84', Varas K. ↓, Baselli D. ↑,
85', Crisetig L. ↓, Belli F. ↑,
85', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
86', Gondo C. ↓, Basili D. ↑,
88', Papetti A. 🟨,
89', Faedo C. 🟨,
90+1', Baselli D. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Reggiana could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Reggiana: Basili D. (Inactive) Charlys (Red Card) Sampirisi M. (Knee Injury) Saro G. (Inactive) Tripaldelli A. (Inactive) Urso O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Padova: Bacci J. (Injury) Boi A. (Inactive) Di Maggio L. (Injury) Fusi P. (Yellow Cards) Lasagna K. (Muscle Injury) Pastina C. (Inactive) Silva J. (Health problems)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Reggiana won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
08.12.25	Mantova - Reggiana	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Reggiana - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Carrarese - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Reggiana - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Avellino - Reggiana	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLTTL
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
08.12.25	Padova - Cesena	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Pescara - Padova	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Padova - Venezia	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Mantova - Padova	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Padova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
29.04.18	Reggiana - Padova	1:1
09.12.17	Padova - Reggiana	0:0
05.03.17	Reggiana - Padova	1:1
17.10.16	Padova - Reggiana	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
17.01.16	Padova - Reggiana	0:0
06.09.15	Reggiana - Padova	1:1

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