Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 25

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine)

Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 3
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Udinese		Empoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3.4	4.4
				Watch
	1.93	3.42	4.62
				Watch
	1.91	3.25	4.2
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.97)	3.36 ↓ (3.37)	4.41 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
50%

Draw
28.4%

Empoli
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

28.3%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

28.3%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.9%	21.6%	13.5%

Udinese - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 24 - 64.9%). Empoli will win (votes: 5 - 13.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 21.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 49.5% – 80.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Sava R. (G) 19. Ehizibue K. 29. Bijol J. 28. Solet O. 11. Kamara H. 14. Atta A. 8. Lovric S. 25. Karlstrom J. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 10. Thauvin F. (C) 17. Lucca L.	1. Silvestri M. (G) 22. De Sciglio M. 2. Goglichidze S. 3. Pezzella G. 11. Gyasi E. 6. Henderson L. 5. Grassi A. (C) 13. Cacace L. 18. Kouame C. 93. Maleh Y. 29. Colombo L.
Substitutes
21. Bravo I. 30. Giannetti L. 27. Kabasele C. 31. Kristensen T. 77. Modesto R. 93. Padelli D. (G) 20. Pafundi S. 5. Payero M. 66. Piana E. (G) 7. Sanchez A. 6. Zarraga O. 33. Zemura J.	37. Bembnista D. 99. Esposito Se. 90. Konate I. 20. Kovalenko V. 7. Sambia J. 12. Seghetti J. (G) 31. Tosto L. 23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 27. Zurkowski S.
Coaches
Runjaic K.	D'Aversa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Ekkelenkamp J. ⚽, Atta A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Colombo L. ↓, Esposito Se. ↑,
64', Atta A. ↓, Payero M. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Ekkelenkamp J. ⚽,
74', Ehizibue K. ↓, Modesto R. ↑,
74', Ekkelenkamp J. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
75', Gyasi E. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,
75', Maleh Y. ↓, Zurkowski S. ↑,
81', Lucca L. ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
81', Lovric S. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
85', Cacace L. ↓, Kovalenko V. ↑,
85', Henderson L. ↓, Konate I. ↑,
90', 3 - 0, Thauvin F. ⚽, Payero M. (A),

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Udinese won 1.

Recent matches Udinese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Empoli has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Udinese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Udinese is a favorite.

There will not play in Udinese: Okoye M. (Wrist Injury) Toure I. (Injury)

There will not play in Empoli: Haas N. (Knee Injury) Marianucci L. (Red Card) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Udinese: Davis K. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Empoli: Anjorin F. (Thigh Injury) Brancolini F. (Injury) Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury) Fazzini J. (Thigh Injury) Ismajli A. (Thigh Injury) Solbakken O. (Shoulder Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Udinese won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22:16 (average 1.4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Udinese won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:7 (average 1.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
09.02.25	Napoli - Udinese	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Udinese - Venezia	3:2 ✺
26.01.25	Udinese - Roma	1:2 ✺
20.01.25	Como - Udinese	4:1 ✺
11.01.25	Udinese - Atalanta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWLLT
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
08.02.25	Empoli - Milan	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Juventus - Empoli	4:1 ✺
25.01.25	Empoli - Bologna	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Inter Milan - Empoli	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Empoli - Lecce	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
25.11.24	Empoli - Udinese	1:1
19.05.24	Udinese - Empoli	1:1
06.10.23	Empoli - Udinese	0:0
11.03.23	Empoli - Udinese	0:1
04.01.23	Udinese - Empoli	1:1
16.04.22	Udinese - Empoli	4:1
06.12.21	Empoli - Udinese	3:1

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