Match Info

Serie A - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine)

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4, Polsat Sport Extra 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Udinese		Bologna

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.98	3.05	2.58	Watch
	3.75	3.35	2.17
	3.65	3.29	2.11	Watch
	3.08	3.18	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.65)	3.19 ↓ (3.35)	2.38 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
29.3%

Draw
30.2%

Bologna
40.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.1%

28.5%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

27.8%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bologna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	41.4%	48.3%

Udinese - Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). Bologna will win (votes: 14 - 48.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 41.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 30.1% – 66.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Bologna (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Bologna (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Bologna (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Okoye M. (G) 13. Bertola N. 27. Kabasele C. 28. Solet O. 19. Ehizibue K. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 8. Karlstrom J. 14. Atta A. 11. Kamara H. 10. Zaniolo N. 9. Davis K.	13. Ravaglia F. (G) 29. De Silvestri L. (C) 16. Casale N. 14. Heggem T. 33. Miranda J. 6. Moro N. 4. Pobega T. 7. Orsolini R. 80. Fabbian G. 30. Dominguez B. 9. Castro S.
Substitutes
15. Bayo V. 17. Bravo I. 18. Buksa A. 2. Goglichidze S. 7. Gueye I. 4. Lovric S. 38. Miller L. 77. Modesto R. 93. Padelli D. (G) 16. Palma M. 24. Piotrowski J. 90. Sava R. (G) 59. Zanoli A. 6. Zarraga O. 33. Zemura J.	10. Bernardeschi F. 24. Dallinga T. 19. Ferguson L. 72. Happonen U. (G) 26. Lucumi J. 22. Lykogiannis C. 21. Odgaard J. 25. Pessina M. (G) 77. Sulemana I. 41. Vitik M. 20. Zortea N.
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Orsolini R. (Pen),
45+5', De Silvestri L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', 0 - 1, Pobega T. ⚽, Orsolini R. (A),
60', 0 - 2, Pobega T. ⚽,
63', De Silvestri L. ↓, Zortea N. ↑,
63', Ehizibue K. ↓, Zanoli A. ↑,
63', Davis K. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
64', Zaniolo N. ↓, Bayo V. ↑,
71', Kamara H. ↓, Zemura J. ↑,
71', Ekkelenkamp J. ↓, Piotrowski J. ↑,
78', Orsolini R. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
78', Fabbian G. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
84', Dominguez B. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
85', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 3, Bernardeschi F. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 1.

Udinese has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bologna is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bologna will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Udinese: Kristensen T. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Cambiaghi N. (Calf Injury) Freuler R. (Shoulder Injury) Holm E. (Thigh Injury) Immobile C. (Thigh Injury) Rowe J. (Thigh Injury) Skorupski L. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.4:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
09.11.25	Roma - Udinese	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Udinese - Atalanta	1:0 ✺
29.10.25	Juventus - Udinese	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Udinese - Lecce	3:2 ✺
20.10.25	Cremonese - Udinese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLWT
- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
09.11.25	Bologna - Napoli	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Bologna - Brann	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.11.25	Parma - Bologna	1:3 ✺
29.10.25	Bologna - Torino	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Fiorentina - Bologna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
28.04.25	Udinese - Bologna	0:0
18.08.24	Bologna - Udinese	1:1
28.04.24	Bologna - Udinese	1:1
30.12.23	Udinese - Bologna	3:0
02.04.23	Bologna - Udinese	3:0
15.01.23	Udinese - Bologna	1:2
24.04.22	Bologna - Udinese	2:2

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