The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fiorentina 71.4%
Draw 17.6%
Sampdoria 11%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.3%
19.2%
10.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.8%
18.5%
10.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
69.2%
0%
30.8%
Fiorentina - Sampdoria Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 51.5% – 86.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
Fiorentina has the most likely position - 8 (30.77%), project points - 53, currently - 42, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
Sampdoria has the most likely position - 20 (78.23%), project points - 23, currently - 17, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality57, very small importance1, small match rating29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 3.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Sampdoria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Fiorentina is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Fiorentina: Bonaventura G.
(Muscle Injury)
Sirigu S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Sampdoria: Audero E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Conti A.
(Tendon Injury)
Nuytinck B.
(Injury)
Pussetto I.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Sampdoria: De Luca M.
(Injury)
Last 23 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 10 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 41-32.
Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-16.
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