The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leones del Norte 51.4%
Draw 31.1%
Vargas Torres 17.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
31.7%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
31.4%
23.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leones del Norte's performance.
Vargas Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vargas Torres might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leones del Norte that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vargas Torres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
Leones del Norte - Vargas Torres Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Leones del Norte will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Vargas Torres will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leones del Norte (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
1X2, 1st Half - Leones del Norte (2.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Leones del Norte (votes: 3 - 100%).
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Diaz C. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Kestler I. ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Velasco K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 2, Luque M. ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Leones del Norte is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones del Norte won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Leones del Norte won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).