Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Torero Stadium (San Diego)

Referee: DeShun B. (Usa)


	San Diego Loyal		Las Vegas Lights

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.51	4.92	5.09
	1.44	4.4	5.55	Watch
	1.45	4.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.51)	4.58 ↑ (3.75)	5.44 ↓ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Loyal
62.9%

Draw
20.1%

Las Vegas Lights
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

24.2%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

23.6%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Loyal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

San Diego Loyal - Las Vegas Lights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koke Vegas (G) 13. Riley C. 5. Stoneman G. 4. Guzman C. 14. Perez A. 11. Moshobane T. 10. Guido A. 6. Adams C. (C) 7. Bodily B. 8. Damus R. 9. Conway E.	1. Diaz L. (G) 5. Lage M. 3. Carroll Z. 98. Zali T. 4. Stauffer L. 22. Jimenez A. 17. Bushue J. (C) 21. Mitrano A. 19. Rios D. 11. Gonzalez A. 12. Bagley T.
Substitutes
47. Bailey T. (G) 23. Chilaka M. 15. Corona J. 60. Ferree D. (G) 50. Gnaulati X. 2. Hackworth M. 20. Moon N.	. Attard Z. 33. Ayimbila J. 14. Dolling J. 20. Oteng E. 6. Romero A. 2. Santana Soares P. 13. Zuluaga A. (G)
Coaches
MIller N.	Sanchez I.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 4.

Recent matches San Diego Loyal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Las Vegas is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Diego Loyal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently San Diego Loyal have a series of guest games.

In this match San Diego Loyal is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-11.

Including matches at home between the teams San Diego Loyal won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
20.09.23	Monterey Bay - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
16.09.23	Louisville City - San Diego Loyal	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Charleston Battery - San Diego Loyal	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	San Diego Loyal - Birmingham Legion	3:0 ✺
26.08.23	Rio Grande Valley - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWW
- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
16.09.23	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	3:2 ✺
13.09.23	Las Vegas Lights - El Paso Locomotive	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Las Vegas Lights - Oakland Roots	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC	1:5 ✺
30.08.23	New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
24.09.22	Las Vegas Lights - San Diego Loyal	1:2
19.06.22	San Diego Loyal - Las Vegas Lights	1:2
25.09.21	Las Vegas Lights - San Diego Loyal	2:4
18.08.21	San Diego Loyal - Las Vegas Lights	5:1
25.06.21	Las Vegas Lights - San Diego Loyal	1:2
29.05.21	San Diego Loyal - Las Vegas Lights	2:1
02.09.20	Las Vegas Lights - San Diego Loyal	1:1

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