Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Torero Stadium (San Diego)

Referee: Meyer B. (Usa)


	San Diego Loyal		Monterey Bay

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	4.1	4.5
	1.55	4.5	4.75	Watch
	1.53	4.33	4.81
	1.51	4.25	4.9	Watch
	1.58	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.48)	4.28 ↑ (3.98)	4.69 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Loyal
59.2%

Draw
21.3%

Monterey Bay
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

22.8%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

22.4%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Loyal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

San Diego Loyal - Monterey Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koke Vegas (G) 13. Riley C. 4. Guzman C. 5. Stoneman G. 7. Bodily B. 6. Adams C. (C) 10. Guido A. 11. Moshobane T. 14. Perez A. 8. Damus R. 15. Corona J.	21. Herrera C. (G) 3. Doner M. 4. Lara A. 33. Greene K. 2. Roberts H. (C) 11. Martinez W. 23. Gleadle S. 20. Baca R. 6. Murphy J. 15. Dixon A. 9. Okoli S.
Substitutes
27. Bailey T. (G) 23. Chilaka M. 9. Conway E. 50. Gnaulati X. 2. Hackworth M. 17. Martin C. 20. Moon N.	31. Boone C. 19. Enriquez J. 24. Glasser M. 7. Rebollar A. 16. Siaha A. (G) 10. Volesky Ch. 5. Yoseke N.
Coaches
MIller N.	Yallop F.

Preview

Recent matches San Diego Loyal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monterey Bay is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match San Diego Loyal is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams San Diego Loyal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
24.09.23	San Diego Loyal - Las Vegas Lights	1:1 ✺
20.09.23	Monterey Bay - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
16.09.23	Louisville City - San Diego Loyal	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Charleston Battery - San Diego Loyal	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	San Diego Loyal - Birmingham Legion	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLLW
- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
23.09.23	Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay	2:2 ✺
20.09.23	Monterey Bay - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
16.09.23	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	3:2 ✺
09.09.23	Memphis 901 - Monterey Bay	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	El Paso Locomotive - Monterey Bay	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
20.09.23	Monterey Bay - San Diego Loyal	2:3
03.09.22	Monterey Bay - San Diego Loyal	3:1
10.08.22	San Diego Loyal - Monterey Bay	1:0

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