Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday

Location: Southwest University Park (El Paso)

Referee: Flores G. (Usa)


	El Paso Locomotive		San Diego Loyal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.6
	2.45	3.5	2.6
	2.55	3.39	2.65
	2.44	3.25	2.6	Watch
	2.37	3.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.07)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	2.62 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

El Paso Locomotive
37.8%

Draw
27.3%

San Diego Loyal
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

26.9%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

26.1%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Paso Locomotive's form might have worsened.

San Diego Loyal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Diego Loyal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Paso Locomotive, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Diego Loyal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

El Paso Locomotive - San Diego Loyal Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. El Paso will win (votes: 1 - 20%). San Diego Loyal will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz B. (G) 2. Navarro M. 4. McCue E. 15. Dollenmayer N. 27. Petrovic P. 16. Lyons M. 10. Kostyshyn D. 22. Rose L. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 29. Knudsen P. 21. Sonupe E.	1. Koke Vegas (G) 23. Chilaka M. 5. Stoneman G. 4. Guzman C. 17. Martin C. 11. Moshobane T. 10. Guido A. (C) 15. Corona J. 7. Bodily B. 8. Damus R. 9. Conway E.
Substitutes
23. Carrillo J. 11. Garcia C. 13. Garcia J. (G) 7. Gomez J. 20. Herrera C. 31. Hinds N. 24. Yuma	6. Adams C. 27. Bailey T. (G) 50. Gnaulati X. 2. Hackworth M. 20. Moon N. 14. Perez A. 13. Riley C.
Coaches
Clarhaut B.	MIller N.

Preview

San Diego Loyal is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

El Paso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches El Paso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams El Paso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
30.09.23	El Paso Locomotive - Charleston Battery	3:2 ✺
23.09.23	El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 ✺
13.09.23	Las Vegas Lights - El Paso Locomotive	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTLWT
- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
30.09.23	San Diego Loyal - Monterey Bay	4:1 ✺
24.09.23	San Diego Loyal - Las Vegas Lights	1:1 ✺
20.09.23	Monterey Bay - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
16.09.23	Louisville City - San Diego Loyal	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Charleston Battery - San Diego Loyal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
29.04.23	San Diego Loyal - El Paso Locomotive	1:2
20.08.22	El Paso Locomotive - San Diego Loyal	1:3
03.04.22	San Diego Loyal - El Paso Locomotive	3:2

Upcoming Matches