Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 32

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday


	San Donato Tavarnelle		Olbia

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.2	2.8	3.35
	2.2	2.8	3.15
	2.18	3.02	3.31
	2.2	2.75	3.4
	2.22	2.95	3.38	Watch
	2.23	2.95	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.85)	2.89 ↑ (2.65)	3.26 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Donato Tavarnelle
41%

Draw
31.3%

Olbia
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

33.5%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

34.2%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Donato Tavarnelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Donato Tavarnelle's performance.

Olbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olbia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Donato Tavarnelle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olbia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

San Donato Tavarnelle - Olbia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. San Donato will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Olbia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 15).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

San Donato will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Donato won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Donato Tavarnelle
Italian Serie C Group B
11.03.23	Ancona - San Donato Tavarnelle	3:0 ✺
05.03.23	San Donato Tavarnelle - Siena	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Pontedera - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:4 ✺
19.02.23	San Donato Tavarnelle - Fermana	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Alessandria - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTWTT
- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
11.03.23	Olbia - Imolese	1:2 ✺
04.03.23	Gubbio - Olbia	0:1
26.02.23	Olbia - Sassari Torres	3:1 ✺
19.02.23	Ancona - Olbia	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Olbia - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
13.11.22	Olbia - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:2

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