Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 36

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday


	San Fernando		Málaga

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.2
	3	3	2.2
	3.1	3.2	2.25
	3	3.38	2.29
	3.17	3.03	2.39
	3.07	3.13	2.29
	3.05	3.15	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.96)	3.14 ↑ (3.13)	2.26 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
30.1%

Draw
29.3%

Málaga
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

29.2%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

29.1%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

San Fernando - Málaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 19. Martinez P. 4. Farrando M. 23. Ramirez J. 3. Ruiz L. 16. Herrera C. 10. Ramos D. 14. Fullana F. 6. Molina D. 17. Sanchez A. 11. Aquino D.	1. Herrero A. (C) 2. Gabilondo J. 15. Moussa D. 5. Juande 14. Garcia V. 7. Ferreiro D. 22. Lorenzo D. 12. Molina M. 18. Sanchez D. 17. Dioni 19. Fernandez Jaen R.
Substitutes
13. Arana E. (G) 21. Arroyo N. 7. Biabiany J. 22. Davila Y. 30. Duarte M. (G) 2. Lillo 20. Masogo A. 18. Naveira U. 9. Ribeiro 34. Rueda A. 15. Ruiz V. 36. Sanchez M.	9. Aviles J. 26. Cordero A. 4. Galilea E. 8. Juanpe 10. Larrubia D. 13. Lopez C. (G) 25. Murillo D. 3. Puga C. 16. Rodriguez G. 23. Sangalli L. 11. Villodres K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Moussa D. ↓, Murillo D. ↑,
41', Fernandez Jaen R. 🟨,
45+1', Sanchez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sanchez D. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
46', Molina M. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
62', Lorenzo D. 🟨,
66', Ferreiro D. ↓, Larrubia D. ↑,
73', Molina D. ↓, Biabiany J. ↑,
73', Sanchez A. ↓, Masogo A. ↑,
76', Lorenzo D. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
80', Herrera C. ↓, Davila Y. ↑,
80', Fullana F. ↓, Naveira U. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Davila Y. ⚽,
84', Ramos D. ↓, Lillo ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

San Fernando is Relegated to

San Fernando is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Málaga is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.05.24	Melilla - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	San Fernando - Real Madrid Castilla	1:3 ✺
21.04.24	Granada B - San Fernando	5:0 ✺
13.04.24	San Fernando - Intercity	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Alcoyano - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLTT
- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.05.24	Málaga - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Córdoba - Málaga	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Málaga - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Atlético Madrid B - Málaga	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Málaga - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.10.23	Málaga - San Fernando	1:0
Club Friendly
09.08.23	Málaga - San Fernando	1:1

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