Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday

Location: PayPal Park (San Jose, CA)

Referee: Szpala L. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass


	San Jose Earthquakes		Cincinnati

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.6	2.55	Watch
	2.35	3.1	2.2
	2.65	3.75	2.55	Watch
	2.69	3.7	2.56
	2.69	3.7	2.55
	2.6	3.6	2.45
	2.63	3.72	2.47	Watch
	2.6	3.6	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.79)	3.6 ↓ (3.67)	2.47 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Jose Earthquakes
36%

Draw
26.1%

Cincinnati
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

25.8%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

25.7%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

San Jose Earthquakes - Cincinnati Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Yarbrough W. (G) 29. Akapo C. 15. Beason T. 24. Munie D. 94. Vitor Costa 14. Yueill J. (C) 23. Lopez H. 30. Tsakiris N. 10. Espinoza C. 11. Ebobisse J. 9. Pellegrino A.	18. Celentano R. (G) 4. Hagglund N. 21. Miazga M. 32. Murphy I. 91. Yedlin D. 5. Nwobodo O. 20. Bucha P. 23. Orellano L. 17. Santos S. 19. Kelsy K. 10. Acosta L. (C)
Substitutes
55. Baldisimo M. 98. Jackson J. (G) 19. Judd P. 28. Kikanovic B. 3. Marie P. 6. Morales A. 16. Skahan J. 22. Thompson T. 77. Walls C.	34. Aghedo L. 27. Asad Y. 15. Halsey B. 1. Kann A. (G) 14. Keller K. 7. Kubo Y. 26. Pinto M. 2. Powell A. 22. Valenzuela G.
Coaches
Gonzalez L.	Noonan P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 4)
54', 0 - 1, Bucha P. ⚽,
57', 1 - 1, Lopez H. ⚽,
64', Santos S. ↓, Kubo Y. ↑,
64', Miazga M. ↓, Keller K. ↑,
66', Kelsy K. 🟨,
72', 2 - 1, Espinoza C. ⚽,
75', Hagglund N. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
75', Akapo C. ↓, Marie P. ↑,
75', Pellegrino A. ↓, Skahan J. ↑,
75', Kelsy K. ↓, Asad Y. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Kubo Y. ⚽, Acosta L. (A), Valenzuela G. (A2)
80', 2 - 3, Kubo Y. ⚽, Acosta L. (A), Valenzuela G. (A2)
84', Orellano L. ↓, Halsey B. ↑,
84', Tsakiris N. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
84', Yueill J. ↓, Judd P. ↑,
87', 2 - 4, Kubo Y. ⚽, Acosta L. (A),
90+3', Ebobisse J. ↓, Kikanovic B. ↑,
90+4', Lopez H. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

San Jose has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cincinnati is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in San Jose: Daniel (Injury) Marcinkowski J. (Knee Injury) Ricketts J. (Injury)

There will not play in Cincinnati: Kubo Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cincinnati: Baird C. (Injury) Boupendza A. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches San Jose won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams San Jose won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Jose Earthquakes
MLS
31.05.24	New York City - San Jose Earthquakes	5:1 ✺
25.05.24	San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
21.05.24	Sacramento Republic - San Jose Earthquakes	4:3 ET ✺
MLS
18.05.24	San Jose Earthquakes - Orlando City	0:1 ✺
15.05.24	Portland Timbers - San Jose Earthquakes	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- FC Cincinnati
MLS
29.05.24	Cincinnati - Nashville SC	0:2 ✺
25.05.24	Toronto FC - Cincinnati	3:4 ✺
18.05.24	Cincinnati - St. Louis City	3:1 ✺
15.05.24	Cincinnati - Atlanta United	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Columbus Crew - Cincinnati	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
10.09.22	Cincinnati - San Jose Earthquakes	6:0
04.05.19	San Jose Earthquakes - Cincinnati	1:0

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