Match Info

MLS

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: PayPal Park (San Jose, CA)

Referee: Dickerson J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	San Jose Earthquakes		Inter Miami

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.8	2.5	Watch
	2.45	3.75	2.5
	2.55	3.75	2.6	Watch
	2.56	3.9	2.63
	2.47	3.93	2.56	Watch
	2.6	3.8	2.38
	2.69	3.92	2.48	Watch
	2.55	4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.77)	3.86 ↑ (3.7)	2.53 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Jose Earthquakes
37.5%

Draw
24.8%

Inter Miami
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

25.6%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

25.3%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.9%	8.7%	30.4%

San Jose Earthquakes - Inter Miami Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - San Jose (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Jose Earthquakes will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. San Jose (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Daniel (G) 26. Rodrigues 12. Romney D. 5. Munie D. 22. Jones D. 6. Harkes I. 34. Leroux B. 94. Vitor Costa 10. Espinoza C. 9. Arango C. 11. Bouda O.	19. Ustari O. (G) 57. Weigandt M. 37. Falcon M. 32. Allen N. 18. Alba J. 42. Bright Y. 5. Busquets S. 10. Messi L. (C) 8. Segovia T. 30. Cremaschi B. 21. Allende T.
Substitutes
36. Edwards E. (G) 25. Floriani M. 19. Judd P. 14. Kaye M. 24. Lima N. 23. Lopez H. 17. Martinez J. 7. Pellegrino A. 18. Roberts R.	6. Aviles T. 17. Fray I. 22. Leo Afonso 2. Lujan G. 14. Martinez D. 29. Obando A. 55. Redondo Solari F. 34. Rios R. (G) 11. Rodriguez B.
Coaches
Arena B.	Mascherano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Falcon M. ⚽, Alba J. (A),
3', 1 - 1, Arango C. ⚽, Espinoza C. (A),
31', Arango C. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
37', 2 - 1, Leroux B. ⚽,
44', 2 - 2, Allende T. ⚽, Alba J. (A),
45+4', 3 - 2, Harkes I. ⚽, Leroux B. (A), Pellegrino A. (A2)
45+7', Vitor Costa 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cremaschi B. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
52', 3 - 3, Allende T. ⚽, Rodriguez B. (A), Messi L. (A2)
63', Rodriguez B. ↓, Obando A. ↑,
66', Bouda O. 🟨,
69', Rodrigues ↓, Floriani M. ↑,
70', Bouda O. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
70', Weigandt M. ↓, Lujan G. ↑,
74', Romney D. 🟨,
74', Allen N. 🟨,
79', Harkes I. ↓, Kaye M. ↑,
79', Pellegrino A. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
81', Bright Y. ↓, Redondo Solari F. ↑,
81', Segovia T. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent performances by San Jose have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Inter Miami's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

San Jose may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in San Jose: Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Inter Miami: Rodriguez B. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Jose Earthquakes
MLS
10.05.25	Colorado Rapids - San Jose Earthquakes	0:2 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Sacramento Republic	2:1 ✺
MLS
03.05.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Portland Timbers	4:1 ✺
26.04.25	Columbus Crew - San Jose Earthquakes	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Sporting Kansas City	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWWLL
- Inter Miami
MLS
10.05.25	Minnesota United - Inter Miami	4:1 ✺
03.05.25	Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls	4:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
30.04.25	Inter Miami - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:3 ✺
MLS
27.04.25	Inter Miami - FC Dallas	3:4 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
24.04.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Inter Miami	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
03.08.22	San Jose Earthquakes - Inter Miami	0:1

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