The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Jose Earthquakes 54.5%
Draw 24.1%
Sacramento Republic 21.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.2%
23.5%
58.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.8%
21.6%
53.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+36.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Jose Earthquakes's performance.
Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-36.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sacramento Republic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-34.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Jose Earthquakes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+32.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sacramento Republic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
16.7%
50%
San Jose Earthquakes - Sacramento Republic Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Jose (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Edwards E. (G) 3. Marie P. 24. Lima N. 14. Kaye M. 21. Buck N. 7. Pellegrino A. 2. Ricketts J. 19. Judd P. 26. Rodrigues 18. Roberts R. 30. Tsakiris N.
99. Mazzola J. (G) 22. Benitez M. 43. Portillo J. J. 3. Spaulding R. 23. Edwards A. 21. Djedje R. 5. Timmer J. 17. Wanner D. 20. Willey B. 24. Jamieson L. 19. Ross N.
Substitutes
11. Bouda O. 25. Floriani M. 6. Harkes I. 28. Kikanovic B. 23. Lopez H. 31. Montali F. (G) 16. Skahan J.
7. Amann T. 2. Gurr J. 6. Kleemann F. 8. Lopez R. 96. Luis Felipe 10. Parano C. 1. Vitiello D. (G)
Coaches
Arena B.
Collins N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Pellegrino A. ⚽, Judd P. (A),
17', Portillo J. J. 🟨,
25', Wanner D. 🟨,
36', Tsakiris N. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Judd P. ⚽, Tsakiris N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ross N. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
64', Wanner D. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
64', Spaulding R. ↓, Kleemann F. ↑,
66', Rodrigues ↓, Floriani M. ↑,
66', Marie P. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
73', Portillo J. J. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
76', Buck N. 🟨,
77', Edwards A. 🟨,
79', Tsakiris N. ↓, Kikanovic B. ↑,
83', Ricketts J. 🟥,
85', Jamieson L. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
87', Judd P. ↓, Skahan J. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Amann T. ⚽, Lopez R. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 2.
Sacramento Republic is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
San Jose's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Sacramento Republic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, San Jose is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 2.2:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).