Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 19

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Sport TV5


	San Lorenzo		Colón

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	4.75
	1.85	3.2	4.6
	1.9	3.2	4.6
	1.87	3.23	5.23
	1.83	3.1	5
	1.81	3.32	4.9	Watch
	1.8	3.35	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.05)	3.24 ↑ (3.13)	4.81 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
51.2%

Draw
29.2%

Colón
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

30%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

29.6%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Lorenzo's performance.

Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

San Lorenzo - Colón Predictions

Users Predictions: San Lorenzo will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Batalla A. (G) 2. Perez R. 6. Gattoni F. 22. Campi G. 47. Giay A. 3. Sanchez C. 21. Braida M. 10. Barrios N. 18. Vombergar A. 11. Bareiro A. 7. Cerutti E.	17. Chicco I. (G) 21. Meza E. 36. Nardelli G. 33. Garces F. 40. Delgado R. 4. Schott A. 14. Perlaza B. 29. Picco L. 22. Alvarez J. 30. Pierotti S. 9. Abila R.
Substitutes
1. Altamirano F. (G) 9. Blandi N. 55. Goyeneche J. 23. Hernandez G. 32. Herrera E. 19. Insaurralde M. 41. Leguizamon I. 35. Lujan G. 8. Maroni G. 20. Martegani A. 50. Perruzzi F. 46. Silva T.	26. Arrua C. 92. Benitez J. 27. Chicco J. 10. Farias F. 19. Galvan T. 12. Ibanez M. (G) 7. Neris P. 8. Silva G. 28. Teuten A. 16. Troncoso L. 5. Vega C.
Coaches
Insua R.	Gorosito N.

Preview

San Lorenzo has the most likely position - 3 (26.01%), project points - 49, currently - 35, a very small chance of win league (3%).

Colón has the most likely position - 25 (7.91%), project points - 30, currently - 19, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 40, very small importance 9, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match San Lorenzo is a favorite.

There will not play in San Lorenzo: Hernandez G. (Injury) James J. (Injury)

There will not play in Colón: Acevedo L. (Injury) Benitez J. (Injury) Goltz P. (Injury) Ibanez J. (Injury) Moreyra S. (Red Card)

Last 16 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-15.

Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.05.23	Barracas Central - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.05.23	Fortaleza - San Lorenzo	3:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.05.23	San Lorenzo - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Banfield - San Lorenzo	1:2 ✺
08.05.23	San Lorenzo - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWT
- CA Colón
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.05.23	Colón - Central Córdoba	2:2 ✺
21.05.23	Colón - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
13.05.23	Instituto Córdoba - Colón	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	Colón - Banfield	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Defensa y Justicia - Colón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.09.22	Colón - San Lorenzo	0:0
11.10.21	San Lorenzo - Colón	1:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
22.02.21	Colón - San Lorenzo	2:0
19.12.20	San Lorenzo - Colón	2:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.09.19	Colón - San Lorenzo	2:1
23.03.19	Colón - San Lorenzo	1:1
Copa Argentina
07.09.18	San Lorenzo - Colón	3:2 penalties

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