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Current Win Probability
San Lorenzo de Almagro 69.1%
Draw 20.4%
Huracán Buenos Aires 10.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.8%
22.4%
12.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.6%
20.9%
11.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo de Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Huracán Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
San Lorenzo de Almagro - Huracán Buenos Aires Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, ⚽,
39', 3 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 2.
San Lorenzo has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Huracán is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
San Lorenzo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, San Lorenzo enters as the overwhelming favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for San Lorenzo in today's match, at odds of 1.34.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, San Lorenzo has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 0.9:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Lorenzo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1:0.7 per game).
Argentina
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