Match Info

Date: 20 August 2022, Saturday


	San Martín de Burzaco		El Porvenir

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.7	3.35
	2.23	2.9	3.2
	2.26	2.88	3.66
	1.93	3.22	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.24)	2.93 ↑ (2.75)	3.48 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Burzaco
42.3%

Draw
31.3%

El Porvenir
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

32.9%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

31.3%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for San Martín de Burzaco aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

San Martín de Burzaco - El Porvenir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Martín de Burzaco won 0.

The competitors look crappy now.

San Martín de Burzaco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

San Martín de Burzaco will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches San Martín de Burzaco won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-15.

Including matches at home between the teams San Martín de Burzaco won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Burzaco
Argentinian Primera C
06.08.22	Real Pilar - San Martín de Burzaco	1:0 ✺
30.07.22	San Martín de Burzaco - General Lamadrid	3:2 ✺
23.07.22	Berazategui - San Martín de Burzaco	2:1 ✺
17.07.22	San Martín de Burzaco - Argentino de Merlo	0:1 ✺
10.07.22	Puerto Nuevo - San Martín de Burzaco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLT
- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
14.08.22	El Porvenir - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
08.08.22	General Lamadrid - El Porvenir	2:1 ✺
30.07.22	El Porvenir - Berazategui	1:3 ✺
24.07.22	Argentino de Merlo - El Porvenir	2:0 ✺
16.07.22	El Porvenir - Puerto Nuevo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
17.04.22	El Porvenir - San Martín de Burzaco	1:1
14.08.21	San Martín de Burzaco - El Porvenir	0:2
29.03.21	El Porvenir - San Martín de Burzaco	1:0
09.03.20	El Porvenir - San Martín de Burzaco	1:0
16.09.19	San Martín de Burzaco - El Porvenir	0:0
24.02.19	El Porvenir - San Martín de Burzaco	2:3
18.09.18	San Martín de Burzaco - El Porvenir	1:3

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