Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez (San Juan)

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
China	K-Ball
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	San Martín de San Juan		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.88	2.45	Watch
	3.3	2.7	2.45
	3.45	2.78	2.42	Watch
	3.59	2.74	2.46	Watch
	3.65	2.75	2.46	Watch
	3.45	2.78	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.17)	2.77 ↓ (2.99)	2.44 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de San Juan
27.2%

Draw
34.1%

San Lorenzo
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

31.6%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

31.8%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	70%	30%

San Martín de San Juan - San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - San Lorenzo (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borgogno M. (C) 4. Molina A. 2. Caseres R. 29. Lecanda T. 3. Alvarez L. 16. Portillo A. 22. Jaurena S. 49. Gonzalez D. 10. Gonzalez S. 8. Tijanovich H. 25. Toloza F.	12. Gill O. (G) 32. Herrera E. 16. Dominguez N. 36. Herrera D. 37. Baez E. 5. Irala E. 15. Cecchini E. 11. Reali M. 10. Muniain I. (C) 21. Braida M. 9. Vombergar A.
Substitutes
14. Adin D. 32. Anselmo F. 20. Burgos E. 30. Diarte L. 9. Gonzalez F. 26. Lopes H. 37. Menendez J. 11. Montagna E. 23. Olguin G. 5. Pelaitay N. 24. Pernia E. 13. Velazco M. (G)	7. Cerutti E. 35. Cordoba A. 28. Cuello A. 25. Devecchi J. (G) 19. Insaurralde M. 50. Ladstatter A. 34. Lopez F. 38. Perruzzi F. 33. Rodriguez Pagano T. 22. Salinardi Branco 26. Vega J. 51. Zelaya M. A.
Coaches
Romagnoli L.	Russo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Reali M. ↓, Cerutti E. ↑,
34', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
34', Braida M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Toloza F. ↓, Anselmo F. ↑,
46', Alvarez L. ↓, Diarte L. ↑,
58', Vombergar A. 🟨,
64', Dominguez N. 🟨,
66', Tijanovich H. ↓, Menendez J. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Cerutti E. ⚽,
75', Gonzalez D. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
77', Muniain I. ↓, Insaurralde M. ↑,
84', Vombergar A. ↓, Cuello A. ↑,
84', Molina A. ↓, Montagna E. ↑,
88', Insaurralde M. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Martín won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently San Lorenzo have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F. (Broken Hand) Hernandez G. (Red Card) Romana J. (Yellow Cards) Tripichio N. (Muscle Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches San Martín won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8:15 (average 0.9:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams San Martín won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

San Lorenzo - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.6%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de San Juan
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.03.25	Instituto Córdoba - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
26.03.25	San Martín de San Juan - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.03.25	San Martín de San Juan - Platense	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Vélez Sársfield - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	San Martín de San Juan - Belgrano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLW
- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.03.25	San Lorenzo - Lanús	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
23.03.25	San Lorenzo - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.03.25	Godoy Cruz - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	San Lorenzo - Independiente	1:2 ✺
03.03.25	San Lorenzo - Racing	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Argentina
10.10.23	San Lorenzo - San Martín de San Juan	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.10.18	San Lorenzo - San Martín de San Juan	2:1
18.11.17	San Martín de San Juan - San Lorenzo	1:3
27.08.16	San Lorenzo - San Martín de San Juan	2:2
28.02.15	San Lorenzo - San Martín de San Juan	1:2
Club Friendly
22.01.14	San Martín de San Juan - San Lorenzo	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.02.13	San Martín de San Juan - San Lorenzo	0:0

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