Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 31

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Ciudadela (San Miguel de Tucumán)

Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)


	San Martín de Tucumán		Deportivo Flandria

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	9
	1.37	4.2	9.5
	1.41	4.19	9.65
	1.38	3.75	9
	1.4	4.2	9.5	Watch
	1.39	4	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.55)	4.06 ↑ (3.87)	9.24 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Tucumán
67%

Draw
23%

Deportivo Flandria
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

23.8%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23.2%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Martín de Tucumán's performance.

Deportivo Flandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Flandria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de Tucumán that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Flandria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Flandria Predictions

Users Predictions: San Martín de Tucumán will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sand D. (G) 4. Sansotre N. 2. Orellana J. 6. Brunet N. 3. Banegas N. 5. Abregu G. 7. Ciccolini L. 8. Bucca L. 10. Andrada B. 11. Dening E. 9. Prokop A.	1. Perafan M. (G) 2. Gomez F. 3. Camacho A. 4. Broggi C. 5. Papa G. 6. Arrechea N. 7. Melivilo F. 8. Altuna A. 9. Gagliardi A. 10. Murillo F. 11. Torres J.
Substitutes
13. Bazzana N. 12. Carrizo N. (G) 20. Colazo A. 17. Molinas I. A. 18. Nunez G. 15. Pierce M. 14. Quilez I. 16. Vera U. 19. Veron M.	18. Fernandez M. 16. Ford J. 12. Gallardo I. (G) 20. Gonzalez A. E. 15. Nalerio A. 14. Ortigosa F. 13. Raggio E. 17. Rivadero M. 19. Tisera F.
Coaches
Frontini P.	Arrotea T.

Preview

Recent matches San Martín de Tucumán is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Flandria is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match San Martín de Tucumán is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Martín de Tucumán won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams San Martín de Tucumán won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.08.23	San Martín de San Juan - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
16.08.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
06.08.23	Guillermo Brown - San Martín de Tucumán	3:0 ✺
30.07.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Agropecuario Argentino	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Club Almagro - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLTT
- Deportivo Flandria
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.08.23	Deportivo Flandria - Nueva Chicago	0:1 ✺
15.08.23	All Boys - Deportivo Flandria	1:0 ✺
07.08.23	Deportivo Flandria - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
31.07.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Flandria	4:2 ✺
23.07.23	Deportivo Flandria - Almirante Brown	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.04.23	Deportivo Flandria - San Martín de Tucumán	2:1
10.10.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Flandria	3:0
15.04.18	Deportivo Flandria - San Martín de Tucumán	3:3
07.07.17	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Flandria	2:0
09.12.16	Deportivo Flandria - San Martín de Tucumán	0:2

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