Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 8

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Malvinas Argentinas (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Loustau J. P. (Arg)


	San Miguel		Agropecuario Argentino

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.88	2.8
	2.65	2.85	2.7
	2.75	2.85	2.75
	2.96	2.84	2.79
	2.96	2.84	2.79
	2.75	2.8	2.7
	2.88	2.6	2.82
	2.75	2.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.6)	2.81 ↓ (2.87)	2.76 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Miguel
33%

Draw
33.1%

Agropecuario Argentino
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

32.3%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

31.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Agropecuario Argentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

San Miguel - Agropecuario Argentino Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. San Miguel will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Agropecuario will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Agropecuario: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pucheta J. (G) 4. Manenti F. 2. D. Renteria 6. Cardozo F. 3. Grance P. 11. Antunes I. 5. Cravero T. 8. Battigelli A. 10. Lujan N. 7. Batallini M. 9. Sanchez C.	1. Otarola F. (G) 4. Schonfeld A. 2. Barrios R. 6. Ledesma F. 3. Silcan E. 7. Montero A. 8. Rivero M. 5. Villarreal M. 11. Moreno E. 9. Bieler C. 10. Marcioni J.
Substitutes
16. Benitez M. 15. Ferrero J. 12. Gonzalez A. (G) 13. Kippes A. 17. Melillo E. 20. Muller D. 14. Real F. 19. Risso B. 18. Sosa D.	19. Cucchi P. 20. Gagliardi A. 13. Lettieri E. 15. Martinez E. 17. Melo A. 18. Mosqueira R. 16. Navarro 14. Ramos M. 12. Salort G. (G)
Coaches
Coleoni G.	Gomez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Rivero M. 🟨,
21', D. Renteria 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Antunes I. ⚽,
45+12', Schonfeld A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Silcan E. ↓, Gagliardi A. ↑,
46', Schonfeld A. ↓, Melo A. ↑,
68', Bieler C. ↓, Cucchi P. ↑,
68', Sanchez C. ↓, Sosa D. ↑,
70', Batallini M. ↓, Ferrero J. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Cucchi P. ⚽,
76', Ledesma F. 🟨,
82', Rivero M. ↓, Camisassa B. ↑,
90+1', Antunes I. ↓, Real F. ↑,
90+1', Lujan N. ↓, Risso B. ↑,
90+1', D. Renteria ↓, Muller D. ↑,
90+6', Marcioni J. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches San Miguel is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Agropecuario is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Miguel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.03.24	Guillermo Brown - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	San Miguel - San Martín de San Juan	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Arsenal Sarandí - San Miguel	1:0 ✺
26.02.24	San Miguel - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
16.02.24	Chacarita Juniors - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTLWT
- Agropecuario Argentino
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.03.24	Agropecuario Argentino - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
14.03.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Agropecuario Argentino	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.03.24	Deportivo Maipú - Agropecuario Argentino	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Agropecuario Argentino - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Güemes - Agropecuario Argentino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWLT

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