Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA B - CLAUSURA - ROUND 3

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday


	San Miguel		Argentino de Merlo

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.87	3.2
	2.2	2.75	3.5
	2.3	2.7	3.66
	2.25	2.75	3.3
	2.22	2.89	3.58
	2.18	2.9	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.02)	2.81 ↓ (2.88)	3.43 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Miguel
41.1%

Draw
32.4%

Argentino de Merlo
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

31.5%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

30.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Argentino de Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

San Miguel - Argentino de Merlo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

San Miguel is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Argentino de Merlo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Miguel will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Miguel won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams San Miguel won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera B
19.06.23	Fénix - San Miguel	2:1 ✺
10.06.23	San Miguel - Sacachispas	0:0 ✺
28.05.23	San Miguel - Villa San Carlos	1:0 ✺
21.05.23	Colegiales - San Miguel	0:2 ✺
13.05.23	San Miguel - Argentino de Quilmes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWWW
- Argentino de Merlo
Copa Argentina
19.06.23	Banfield - Argentino de Merlo	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera B
15.06.23	Argentino de Merlo - Villa San Carlos	0:1 ✺
09.06.23	Colegiales - Argentino de Merlo	2:2 ✺
04.06.23	Argentino de Quilmes - Argentino de Merlo	0:0 ✺
28.05.23	Argentino de Merlo - Los Andes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
28.02.23	Argentino de Merlo - San Miguel	0:1
Argentinian Primera C
14.03.17	Argentino de Merlo - San Miguel	0:0
28.08.16	San Miguel - Argentino de Merlo	1:1
05.06.16	San Miguel - Argentino de Merlo	1:0

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