Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA B - APERTURA - ROUND 16

Date: 28 May 2023, Sunday


	San Miguel		Villa San Carlos

	1	X	2
	1.75	3	4.6
	1.72	3.1	4.75
	1.7	3.21	5.65
	1.78	2.88	5
	1.81	3.1	5
	1.77	3.1	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.04)	3.07 ↑ (3.03)	4.95 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Miguel
51.9%

Draw
29.7%

Villa San Carlos
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

30.3%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

29.4%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Miguel's performance.

Villa San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa San Carlos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Miguel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa San Carlos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

San Miguel - Villa San Carlos Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Miguel will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Villa San Carlos will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Play Offs: Final) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Miguel won 4.

San Miguel is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Villa San Carlos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villa San Carlos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match San Miguel is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches San Miguel won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams San Miguel won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera B
21.05.23	Colegiales - San Miguel	0:2 ✺
13.05.23	San Miguel - Argentino de Quilmes	2:0 ✺
06.05.23	Los Andes - San Miguel	3:0 ✺
29.04.23	San Miguel - Deportivo Armenio	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Deportivo Merlo - San Miguel	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLTW
- CA Villa San Carlos
Argentinian Primera B
13.05.23	Villa San Carlos - Colegiales	1:2 ✺
07.05.23	Argentino de Quilmes - Villa San Carlos	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	Villa San Carlos - Los Andes	3:2 ✺
22.04.23	Deportivo Armenio - Villa San Carlos	0:0 ✺
16.04.23	Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Merlo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
17.07.22	Villa San Carlos - San Miguel	0:2
20.03.22	San Miguel - Villa San Carlos	2:1
24.10.21	Villa San Carlos - San Miguel	4:2
26.06.21	San Miguel - Villa San Carlos	1:0
09.02.20	Villa San Carlos - San Miguel	1:2
26.08.19	San Miguel - Villa San Carlos	0:1
28.01.18	Villa San Carlos - San Miguel	2:2

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