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Current Win Probability
Argentino de Merlo 33.3%
Draw 34.3%
Villa San Carlos 32.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.3%
30%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
29.7%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentino de Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Argentino de Merlo's form might have worsened.
Villa San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Argentino de Merlo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Argentino de Merlo - Villa San Carlos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bangardino P. (G)
8. Acosta A.
2. Areco G.
3. Canete S.
6. Esteves I.
5. Gonzalez E.
4. Lloyaiy A.
7. Lugones A.
11. Mussis F.
10. Ponton A.
9. Salinas R.
Substitutes
12. Akimenco T. (G)
16. Cairo F.
15. Fabi S.
14. Farias F.
13. Machin L.
19. Pavia K.
20. Plastino M.
17. Villagra J.
18. Zegarra Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Acosta A. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
52', Mussis F. 🟨,
65', Aguirre D. E. ↓, Jerez T. ↑,
66', Lopez V. 🟨,
67', 0 - 1, Salinas R. ⚽,
71', Salinas R. ↓, Plastino M. ↑,
79', Mussis F. ↓, Machin L. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 13th and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Merlo won 3.
Argentino de Merlo is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Villa San Carlos has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Argentino de Merlo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Argentino de Merlo has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:5 (averaging 0.7:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Argentino de Merlo against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Villa San Carlos
38
11
14
13
37:39
-2
47
14
Argentino de Merlo
38
11
11
16
33:39
-6
44
Last Results with these Odds
Villa San Carlos - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 30.71%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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