Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA B - CLAUSURA - ROUND 11

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday


	San Miguel		Deportivo Merlo

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.9	7.5
	1.42	4.11	7.69
	1.42	3.5	8.5
	1.42	4.15	7.7
	1.43	3.8	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.54)	3.89 ↑ (3.69)	7.72 ↑ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Miguel
64.5%

Draw
23.6%

Deportivo Merlo
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

24.9%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

24.3%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

San Miguel - Deportivo Merlo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Miguel won 2.

San Miguel is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Deportivo Merlo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match San Miguel is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches San Miguel won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams San Miguel won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera B
19.08.23	Ituzaingó - San Miguel	0:2 ✺
05.08.23	San Miguel - Comunicaciones	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Cañuelas - San Miguel	0:1 ✺
22.07.23	San Miguel - UAI Urquiza	0:1 ✺
16.07.23	Sportivo Dock Sud - San Miguel	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTWLW
- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
19.08.23	Deportivo Merlo - Villa San Carlos	2:2 ✺
05.08.23	Colegiales - Deportivo Merlo	0:2 ✺
30.07.23	Deportivo Merlo - Argentino de Quilmes	1:2 ✺
22.07.23	Los Andes - Deportivo Merlo	2:2 ✺
15.07.23	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Armenio	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
22.04.23	Deportivo Merlo - San Miguel	0:3
05.08.22	San Miguel - Deportivo Merlo	1:2
09.04.22	Deportivo Merlo - San Miguel	2:0
07.08.21	San Miguel - Deportivo Merlo	1:0
27.03.21	Deportivo Merlo - San Miguel	1:0
Argentinian Primera C
14.05.17	Deportivo Merlo - San Miguel	2:1
28.10.16	San Miguel - Deportivo Merlo	0:0

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