Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday


	San Roque de Lepe		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.95
	2.25	2.9	3.2
	2.34	3.15	2.75
	2.54	2.92	3.06
	2.49	3.14	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.35)	3 ↓ (3.13)	2.95 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Roque de Lepe
38.4%

Draw
30.5%

Ceuta
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

29.5%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

21.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Roque de Lepe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The chances for Ceuta have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Roque de Lepe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceuta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Roque de Lepe - Ceuta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

San Roque de Lepe is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ceuta in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ceuta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches San Roque de Lepe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams San Roque de Lepe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.12.21	Panadería Pulido - San Roque de Lepe	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	San Roque de Lepe - Mirandés	0:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.11.21	San Roque de Lepe - Las Palmas B	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Mérida AD - San Roque de Lepe	0:1 ✺
13.11.21	San Roque de Lepe - Villanovense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLTWW
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.12.21	Ceuta - Antequera	1:0 ✺
28.11.21	Mensajero - Ceuta	1:3 ✺
21.11.21	Ceuta - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
14.11.21	Tamaraceite - Ceuta	0:2 ✺
07.11.21	Ceuta - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
31.08.19	San Roque de Lepe - Ceuta	1:0
11.05.19	San Roque de Lepe - Ceuta	4:2

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