Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 21

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	San Sebastian Reyes		Atlético Paso

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.1	5
	1.68	3.2	4.75
	1.7	3.2	5
	1.71	3.15	5.25
	1.7	3.19	5.41	Watch
	1.71	3.38	4.96
	1.7	3.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.51)	3.2 ↓ (3.63)	5.05 ↓ (6.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Sebastian Reyes
53.6%

Draw
28.4%

Atlético Paso
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

24.3%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Sebastian Reyes's form might have worsened.

Atlético Paso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Sebastian Reyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

San Sebastian Reyes - Atlético Paso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, Harta F. ⚽,
60', 1 - 1, de las Marinas J. ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, Herrero A. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches SS Reyes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Paso has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

SS Reyes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently SS Reyes have a series of guest games.

In this match SS Reyes is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches SS Reyes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams SS Reyes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.01.25	Colonia Moscardó - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Getafe B - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Alcalá - San Sebastian Reyes	2:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.12.24	Navalcarnero - San Sebastian Reyes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWTWL
- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.01.25	Atlético Paso - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Talavera de la Reina - Atlético Paso	4:0 ✺
12.01.25	Atlético Paso - CD Guadalajara	0:1 ✺
08.01.25	Tenerife B - Atlético Paso	3:2 ✺
22.12.24	Atlético Paso - Melilla	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.09.24	Atlético Paso - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0
10.03.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Atlético Paso	2:0
29.10.23	Atlético Paso - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0

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