Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 21

Date: 30 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Gigante del Norte (Salta)

Referee: Cavallero L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Gimnasia y Tiro		San Telmo

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.63	3.7
	2.35	2.7	3.3
	2.45	2.65	3.4
	2.44	2.63	3.86
	2.38	2.62	3.8
	2.3	2.75	3.4
	2.3	2.77	3.54
	2.37	2.65	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.17)	2.68 ↓ (2.77)	3.57 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
39.2%

Draw
34.8%

San Telmo
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

33.8%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

36.7%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

San Telmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia y Tiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	46.2%	15.4%

Gimnasia y Tiro - San Telmo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). San Telmo will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abadia F. (G) 4. Chaves I. F. 2. Neira E. 6. Tallura A. 3. Sanabria I. 8. Araujo A. 5. Birge R. 10. Busse W. 11. Villarreal R. 7. Gordillo L. 9. Attis T.	1. Bustos B. (G) 4. Cosi J. 2. Gonzalez H. 6. Lamosa A. 3. Ayala R. 8. Franco E. 5. Ramirez G. 7. Gonzalez R. 10. Fernandez A. 9. Heiz N. 11. Barreto J.
Substitutes
13. Abello D. 17. Carrasco D. 19. Chaves A. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 14. Galetto J. 16. Heredia F. 15. Narese E. 18. Rocca J. 20. Rojas F.	12. Enrico J. C. (G) 17. Larthirigoyen I. 13. Lillo G. 18. Mayenfisch G. 20. Maza J. 16. Medina C. 19. Tisera F. 14. Vallejos M. 15. Yangali J.
Coaches
Forestello R.	Grelak A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
30', 0 - 1, Gonzalez R. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Ayala R. ⚽,
40', 0 - 3, Heiz N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sanabria I. ↓, Rojas F. ↑,
53', Neira E. 🟨,
63', Franco E. ↓, Lillo G. ↑,
63', Cosi J. ↓, Vallejos M. ↑,
66', Fernandez A. 🟨,
67', Tallura A. 🟨,
70', Araujo A. ↓, Rocca J. ↑,
71', Heiz N. ↓, Tisera F. ↑,
79', Barreto J. ↓, Larthirigoyen I. ↑,
79', Gonzalez R. ↓, Yangali J. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Gimnasia y Tiro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.06.24	Chaco For Ever - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1 ✺
08.06.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
26.05.24	Brown de Adrogué - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
17.05.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Temperley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLTTL
- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.06.24	San Telmo - Mitre	0:0 ✺
02.06.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - San Telmo	0:1 ✺
25.05.24	San Telmo - Colón	2:0 ✺
20.05.24	Almirante Brown - San Telmo	0:0 ✺
12.05.24	San Telmo - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.02.24	San Telmo - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1

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