Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 37

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Baletto (Dock Sud)

Referee: Possi Y. (Arg)


	San Telmo		Güemes

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.3	3.2	3	Watch
	2.41	2.98	3.41
	2.3	3	3.1
	2.28	3.2	3.22
	2.26	3.15	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.8)	3.13 ↓ (3.15)	3.17 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Telmo
40.6%

Draw
29.9%

Güemes
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

29.3%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

29.1%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Telmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Telmo's performance.

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Güemes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Telmo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Güemes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

San Telmo - Güemes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yacaruso G. (G) 4. Pollacchi L. 2. Gonzalez H. 6. Sandona A. 3. Diaz E. 8. Stancato A. 5. Requena J. 20. Villarruel G. 18. Luna R. 7. Amaya A. 9. Gimenez B.	1. Mendonca J. (G) 4. Bellone A. O. 2. Machuca B. 6. Escudero M. 3. Gamarra G. 8. Garcia M. 5. Alvarez L. 10. Carruega S. 11. Benega S. 7. Casa M. 9. Maggi I.
Coaches
Bianco J.	Perazzo W

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

Recent matches San Telmo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Güemes in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

San Telmo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches San Telmo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams San Telmo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.09.23	Patronato Parana - San Telmo	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	San Telmo - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	3:2 ✺
17.09.23	Alvarado - San Telmo	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	San Telmo - Deportivo Flandria	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	San Martín de San Juan - San Telmo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWLWW
- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.09.23	Güemes - Temperley	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Güemes	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Güemes - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	All Boys - Güemes	0:2 ✺
02.09.23	Güemes - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.05.23	Güemes - San Telmo	1:1
12.03.22	Güemes - San Telmo	0:1
08.10.21	Güemes - San Telmo	1:1
17.06.21	San Telmo - Güemes	1:1

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