Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 32

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez (San Juan)

Referee: Rivero R. (Arg)


	San Martín de San Juan		San Telmo

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	10
	1.35	4.3	10
	1.37	4.47	10.45
	1.36	3.8	9.5
	1.37	4.5	9.5
	1.37	4.3	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.65)	4.28 ↑ (3.55)	9.68 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de San Juan
68.4%

Draw
21.9%

San Telmo
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

26%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

25.2%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Martín de San Juan's performance.

San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Telmo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de San Juan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Telmo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Martín de San Juan - San Telmo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monllor M. (G) 4. Molina A. 2. Masuero A. 6. Sienra A. 3. Bontempo L. 8. Vega A. 5. Pelaitay N. 7. Blanco J. 10. Gonzalez S. 9. Franco N. 11. Arturia M.	1. Yacaruso G. (G) 4. Pollacchi L. 2. Gonzalez H. 6. Sandona A. 3. Diaz E. 8. Stancato A. 5. Requena J. 7. Amaya A. 10. D'Angelo E. 9. Bodencer E. 11. Luna R.
Substitutes
18. Acosta L. 12. Borgogno M. (G) 19. Donato M. 15. Galvan M. 14. Llano Massa M. T. 16. Luduena C. 20. Regalado L. 17. Tejada N. 13. Villegas J. C.	13. Diaz G. 16. Fernandez A. 20. Gimenez B. 15. Gimenez G. 18. Gonzalez R. 12. Moreyra R. 19. Ramirez R. 14. Toledo D. 17. Villarruel G.
Coaches
Monasterio C.	Bianco J.

Preview

San Martín is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Telmo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

San Telmo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match San Martín is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's San Martín to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 4 head-to-head matches San Martín won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-3.

Including matches at home between the teams San Martín won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de San Juan
Copa Argentina
30.08.23	Argentinos Juniors - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.08.23	Temperley - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
21.08.23	San Martín de San Juan - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
16.08.23	Nueva Chicago - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
06.08.23	San Martín de San Juan - All Boys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWTTW
- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.08.23	San Telmo - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Guillermo Brown - San Telmo	1:1 ✺
15.08.23	San Telmo - Agropecuario Argentino	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Club Almagro - San Telmo	2:0 ✺
22.07.23	San Telmo - Temperley	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.04.23	San Telmo - San Martín de San Juan	0:2
08.10.22	San Martín de San Juan - San Telmo	2:1
28.08.21	San Telmo - San Martín de San Juan	2:1
18.04.21	San Martín de San Juan - San Telmo	5:0

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