Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 34

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Gil J. (Arg)


	Alvarado		San Telmo

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	5	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.87	3.26	4.85
	1.83	3.1	4.33
	1.83	3.4	4.6
	1.88	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.94)	3.22 ↓ (3.26)	4.58 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
50.4%

Draw
29.1%

San Telmo
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.4%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

28.6%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Alvarado - San Telmo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). San Telmo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lobelos J. (G) 2. Robledo A. 3. Bettini M. 4. Ortiz N. D. 6. Irazoque A. 5. Jaurena S. 11. Boasso F. 8. Malagueno F. 7. Ramirez S. 9. Rebecchi L. 10. Bolanos E.	1. Yacaruso G. (G) 2. Gonzalez H. 3. Diaz E. 4. Sandona A. 6. Ceceri K. 7. Amaya A. 5. Requena J. (C) 8. Stancato A. 9. Bodencer E. 10. Fernandez A. 11. Luna R.
Substitutes
20. Albertengo M. 19. Barbieri M. 15. Bellocq F. 13. Berra T. 18. Fernandez J. L. 14. Lacunza L. 17. Lamardo G. 16. Vitale J. 12. Zapata A. (G)	12. Atamanuk C. (G) 15. Diaz G. 20. Gimenez B. 16. Gimenez G. 17. Gonzalez R. 14. Pollacchi L. 18. Ramirez R. 13. Toledo D. 19. Villarruel G.
Coaches
Martinez J. M.	Bianco J.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

San Telmo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alvarado is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.09.23	Temperley - Alvarado	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Alvarado - San Martín de Tucumán	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Nueva Chicago - Alvarado	1:4 ✺
20.08.23	Alvarado - All Boys	0:0 ✺
15.08.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LTWTT
- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.09.23	San Telmo - Deportivo Flandria	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	San Martín de San Juan - San Telmo	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	San Telmo - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Guillermo Brown - San Telmo	1:1 ✺
15.08.23	San Telmo - Agropecuario Argentino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.05.23	San Telmo - Alvarado	1:1
22.05.22	San Telmo - Alvarado	0:1

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