Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 36

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)

Referee: Llobet F. (Arg)


	Patronato Parana		San Telmo

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	5	Watch
	1.71	3.5	4.5
	1.72	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.65	4.72
	1.73	3.3	4.75
	1.76	3.62	4.6
	1.72	3.5	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.7)	3.52 ↓ (3.74)	4.72 ↓ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
53.8%

Draw
26.5%

San Telmo
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

25%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

26.1%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

San Telmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Patronato Parana - San Telmo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salva J. (G) 4. Ruiz M. 6. Vazquez F. 2. Gonzalez C. 3. Cobos F. 11. Valdez J. 5. Domingo N. 8. Picco A. R. 10. Novero G. 7. Levato M. 9. Russo I.	1. Yacaruso G. (G) 4. Pollacchi L. 2. Gonzalez H. 6. Sandona A. 3. Diaz E. 7. Amaya A. 5. Requena J. 8. Stancato A. 10. D'Angelo E. 9. Gimenez B. 11. Ramirez R.
Substitutes
16. Barinaga J. 19. Bravo B. 20. Diaz E. 15. Geminiani L. 14. Ghiraldello J. 17. Gonzalez K. 13. Ojeda S. 12. Rivasseau F. (G) 18. Velazquez B.	12. Atamanuk C. (G) 13. Ceceri K. 15. Diaz G. 17. Fernandez A. 16. Gimenez G. 19. Larthirigoyen I. 18. Luna R. 14. Toledo D. 20. Villarruel G.
Coaches
de Paoli R.	Bianco J.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Patronato is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Telmo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Patronato is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Patronato won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.09.23	Temperley - Patronato Parana	3:1 ✺
17.09.23	Patronato Parana - San Martín de Tucumán	1:3 ✺
11.09.23	Nueva Chicago - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Patronato Parana - All Boys	3:2 ✺
26.08.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTWL
- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.09.23	San Telmo - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	3:2 ✺
17.09.23	Alvarado - San Telmo	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	San Telmo - Deportivo Flandria	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	San Martín de San Juan - San Telmo	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	San Telmo - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.05.23	San Telmo - Patronato Parana	3:1

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